Tennis · W35 Torino · 15/07, 10:00
Prediction: Jessica Bertoldo vs Gaia Maduzzi
Prediction summary
Winner
Jessica Bertoldo
Gaia Maduzzi
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Jessica Bertoldo
2-8 (W-L)
Gaia Maduzzi
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jessica Bertoldo 1392 · Gaia Maduzzi 1537
| Jessica Bertoldo | Gaia Maduzzi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 70% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gaia Maduzzi (rating 1392 vs 1537).
- Gaia Maduzzi is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Jessica Bertoldo makes many double faults (6.5/match).
Statistics
| Jessica Bertoldo | Gaia Maduzzi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (8) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.9 | 1.2-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.7-13.1 | 9.1-7.2 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 6.5 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 50.5% | 56.3% |
| Break % | 49% | 47.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jessica Bertoldo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Mariia Lazarenko W35 Torino |
2-1 | 8-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Lisa Claeys W15 Getxo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Masa Viriant W15 Grado · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 13/05 | Francesca Gandolfi W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-12 | L |
| 03/05 | Emma Lene W75 Saint-Gaudens · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 20/04 | Lucia Cortez Llorca W75 Chiasso · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 15/04 | Mariella Thamm W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/04 | Martina Trevisan W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/03 | Jenny Lim W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 7-10 | L |
| 09/03 | Alena Kovackova W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Gaia Maduzzi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Galatea Ferro W35 Torino |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/07 | Beatrice Ricci W35 Buzau |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 20/05 | Tilwith Di Girolami W50 Portoroz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Emily Webley-Smith W50 Portoroz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 25/04 | Tara Wuerth W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/04 | Vittoria Paganetti W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/04 | Luna Vujovic W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/04 | Agnese Gentili W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/04 | Nina Radovanovic W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-4 | W |
| 17/04 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jessica Bertoldo vs Gaia Maduzzi?
Our model gives 68% to Gaia Maduzzi, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.