Tennis · W35 Torino · 14/07, 14:30
Prediction: Lia Karatancheva vs Arianna Zucchini
Prediction summary
Winner
Lia Karatancheva
Arianna Zucchini
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Lia Karatancheva
5-5 (W-L)
Arianna Zucchini
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lia Karatancheva 1542 · Arianna Zucchini 1492
| Lia Karatancheva | Arianna Zucchini | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lia Karatancheva (rating 1542 vs 1492).
- Lia Karatancheva is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Lia Karatancheva | Arianna Zucchini | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (4) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.8 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-7.7 | 8.9-9.8 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 67.3% | 56.1% |
| Break % | 62.8% | 55.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lia Karatancheva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Lea Boskovic W75 The Hague |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 10/07 | Arantxa Rus W75 The Hague |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 09/07 | Chloe Paquet W75 The Hague |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 08/07 | Iva Primorac Pavicic W75 The Hague |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 06/07 | Daniela Vismane W75 The Hague |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 05/07 | Charlotte Pikkaart W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 03/07 | Maria Sara Popa W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Nellie Taraba Wallberg W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 7-0 | W |
| 01/07 | Vittoria Paganetti W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Joy De Zeeuw W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Arianna Zucchini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/05 | Daria Gorska W35 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-10 | L |
| 21/05 | Weronika Falkowska W35 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Tara Wuerth W35 Bol · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 08/05 | Camilla Gennaro W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 07/05 | Angelica Raggi W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/05 | Benedetta Ortenzi W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/04 | Lucie Nguyen Tan W50 Bujumbura · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/04 | Margaux Rouvroy W50 Bujumbura · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/04 | Merel Hoedt W50 Bujumbura · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/04 | Yasmine Mansouri W50 Bujumbura · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lia Karatancheva vs Arianna Zucchini?
Our model gives 66% to Lia Karatancheva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.