Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach · 15/07, 03:30
Prediction: Jacob Brumm vs Benjamin Sparks
Prediction summary
Winner
Jacob Brumm
Benjamin Sparks
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Jacob Brumm
3-7 (W-L)
Benjamin Sparks
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jacob Brumm 1420 · Benjamin Sparks 1550
| Jacob Brumm | Benjamin Sparks | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 68% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Benjamin Sparks (rating 1420 vs 1550).
- Benjamin Sparks is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Jacob Brumm | Benjamin Sparks | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.5-1.7 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.6-13.5 | 11-7.9 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 59.3% | 68.4% |
| Break % | 37.2% | 53.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jacob Brumm
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Alexander Aney UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Noah Johnston M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Alexander Petrov M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/07 | William Kleege M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 06/05 | Jonathan Mridha M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Keshav Chopra M15 Orange Park · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 21/04 | Keaton Hance M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/04 | Corentin Denolly M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 11/04 | Andreja Petrovic M15 Boca Raton |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 10/04 | Mwendwa Mbithi M15 Boca Raton |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
Benjamin Sparks
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Pavel Bushuev UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/06 | Cesar Cruz UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Donald Hall UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/06 | Antreas Djakouris UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/06 | Sebastian Bielen UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/06 | David Duong UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Lathan Skrobarcek UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 04/06 | Niels Hoffmann UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Rohan Sachdev UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/06 | Matei Gavrea UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jacob Brumm vs Benjamin Sparks?
Our model gives 58% to Benjamin Sparks, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.