Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach · 15/07, 03:30

Prediction: Alexander Aney vs Pavel Bushuev

Prediction summary
Winner
53% 47%
Alexander Aney Pavel Bushuev
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Alexander Aney 3-7 (W-L)
LLLLWLWLLW
Pavel Bushuev 2-8 (W-L)
LWLLLLLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alexander Aney 1512 · Pavel Bushuev 1469
Alexander AneyPavel Bushuev
Our model56%44%
Market50%50%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexander Aney (rating 1512 vs 1469).
  • Note: Alexander Aney makes many double faults (7/match).
  • Note: Pavel Bushuev makes many double faults (4.2/match).

Statistics

Alexander AneyPavel Bushuev
Win %50%40%
Win % · Hard 60% (5) 40% (10)
Sets (G-P)1-1.20.9-1.5
Games (G-P)9-10.411-12.5
Aces1.75.3
Double faults74.2
1st serve %61.9%69.3%
Break %43.7%42.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alexander Aney

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/07 Jacob Brumm
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 13-5 W
12/06 Alberto Altur Fernandez
UTR Pro Boston · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
10/06 Nicolas Iantosca
UTR Pro Boston · Hard
2-1 15-11 W
09/06 Drew Van Orderlain
UTR Pro Boston · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
22/02 Leonardo Cattaneo
UTR Pro Berkeley · Clay
2-1 15-14 W
21/02 Lucas Hammond
UTR Pro Berkeley · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
21/02 Jordan Chiu
UTR Pro Berkeley · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
20/02 Timofey Stepanov
UTR Pro Berkeley · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
19/02 Bernardo Munk Mesa
UTR Pro Berkeley · Clay
0-2 2-12 L
04/12 Alessandro-D Ventre
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 2-12 L

Pavel Bushuev

LLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/07 Benjamin Sparks
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
04/07 Marshall Landry
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-1 18-16 W
04/07 Liam Spiers
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
03/07 Christopher Rodi
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
02/07 Maciej Rajski
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
1-2 14-13 L
01/07 Noble Renfrow
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-1 16-18 W
28/06 Cassius Chinlund
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
27/06 JP Day
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
26/06 Andrew Li
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-1 18-11 W
25/06 Xavier Calvelo
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 7-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alexander Aney vs Pavel Bushuev?

Our model gives 53% to Alexander Aney, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.