Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach · 16/07, 02:00
Prediction: Jacob Brumm vs Pavel Bushuev
Prediction summary
Winner
Jacob Brumm
Pavel Bushuev
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Jacob Brumm
2-8 (W-L)
Pavel Bushuev
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jacob Brumm 1419 · Pavel Bushuev 1476
| Jacob Brumm | Pavel Bushuev | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 51% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pavel Bushuev (rating 1419 vs 1476).
- Pavel Bushuev is in better form: 40% recent wins.
- Note: Pavel Bushuev makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Jacob Brumm | Pavel Bushuev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (4) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.3-1.9 | 1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.8-13.8 | 11.7-12.8 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 5.5 |
| Double faults | 2 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 57.3% | 70.2% |
| Break % | 39.1% | 36.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jacob Brumm
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Benjamin Sparks UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Alexander Aney UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Noah Johnston M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Alexander Petrov M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/07 | William Kleege M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 06/05 | Jonathan Mridha M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Keshav Chopra M15 Orange Park · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 21/04 | Keaton Hance M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/04 | Corentin Denolly M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 11/04 | Andreja Petrovic M15 Boca Raton |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
Pavel Bushuev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Alexander Aney UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 14/07 | Benjamin Sparks UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Marshall Landry UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 04/07 | Liam Spiers UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/07 | Christopher Rodi UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Maciej Rajski UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Noble Renfrow UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 28/06 | Cassius Chinlund UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 27/06 | JP Day UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Andrew Li UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jacob Brumm vs Pavel Bushuev?
Our model gives 53% to Pavel Bushuev, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.