Tennis · W35 Torino · 14/07, 09:30

Prediction: Beatrice Ricci vs Eleonora Alvisi

Prediction summary
Winner
73% 27%
Beatrice Ricci Eleonora Alvisi
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Beatrice Ricci 6-4 (W-L)
WWLLLWLWWW
Eleonora Alvisi 3-7 (W-L)
LLLLLWWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Beatrice Ricci 1500 · Eleonora Alvisi 1437
Beatrice RicciEleonora Alvisi
Our model59%41%
Market84%16%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Beatrice Ricci (rating 1500 vs 1437).
  • Note: Beatrice Ricci makes many double faults (4.9/match).
  • Note: Eleonora Alvisi makes many double faults (5.4/match).

Statistics

Beatrice RicciEleonora Alvisi
Win %50%30%
Win % · Clay 43% (7) 30% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.3-1.20.7-1.6
Games (G-P)11.3-10.48.8-12.1
Aces0.61.1
Double faults4.95.4
1st serve %61%59%
Break %60.5%37.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Beatrice Ricci

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/07 Julie Struplova
W35 Buzau
1-2 15-17 L
07/07 Gaia Maduzzi
W35 Buzau
2-0 14-10 W
06/07 Ayanna Maria Mitu
W35 Buzau
2-0 12-4 W
18/06 Marta Lombardini
W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
17/06 Ingrid Vojcinakova
W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
07/06 Noemi Basiletti
WTA Modena · Clay
1-2 8-13 L
03/06 Jazmin Ortenzi
W75 Caserta · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
01/06 Alena Kovackova
W75 Caserta · ~Clay
2-1 16-15 W
31/05 Alice Ferlito
W75 Caserta · ~Clay
2-1 14-11 W
26/05 Valentina Ivanov
W35 Bol · ~Clay
1-2 10-7 L

Eleonora Alvisi

WWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/06 Miriana Tona
W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
01/06 Yiming Dang
WTA Foggia · Clay
1-2 13-17 L
22/05 Francesca Gandolfi
W15 Grado · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
21/05 Aurora Nosei
W15 Grado · ~Clay
2-1 16-15 W
20/05 Ania Hertel
W15 Grado · ~Clay
2-0 11-2 W
05/05 Marcella Dessolis
W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
14/04 Arina Gabriela Vasilescu
W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
0-2 6-13 L
07/04 Briana Szabo
W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
24/10 Jennifer Ruggeri
W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
22/10 Alessandra Mazzola
W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
2-1 15-14 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Beatrice Ricci vs Eleonora Alvisi?

Our model gives 73% to Beatrice Ricci, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.