Tennis · W35 Torino · 14/07, 11:00
Prediction: Emma Lene vs Ela Nala Milic
Prediction summary
Winner
Emma Lene
Ela Nala Milic
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Emma Lene
8-2 (W-L)
Ela Nala Milic
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Emma Lene 1569 · Ela Nala Milic 1456
| Emma Lene | Ela Nala Milic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Emma Lene (rating 1569 vs 1456).
- Emma Lene is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Emma Lene | Ela Nala Milic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-7.8 | 9.4-11 |
| Aces | 2 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 66.4% | 58.6% |
| Break % | 59% | 48.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Emma Lene
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06 | Aran Teixido Garcia W35 Casablanca · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Ekaterina Perelygina W35 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/06 | Verena Meliss W35 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 10/06 | Sarah Iliev W35 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 05/06 | Marta Soriano Santiago W15 Casablanca · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Leilany Ipunesso W15 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/06 | Aleksandra Kyselova W15 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 20/05 | Aneta Laboutkova W35 Klagenfurt · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Laura Hietaranta W35 Klagenfurt · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/05 | Stefanie Auer W35 Klagenfurt · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Ela Nala Milic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/04 | Margaux Komano W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/03 | Adrienn Nagy W75 Murska Sobota |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 18/03 | Katherine Sebov W75 Maribor |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/03 | Camilla Zanolini W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
| 01/03 | Yuliya Hatouka W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/02 | Karla Popovic W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 27/02 | Daria Zelinskaya W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 26/02 | Ekaterina Perelygina W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 25/02 | Anastasia Mozgaleva W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
| 04/02 | Verena Meliss W15 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Emma Lene vs Ela Nala Milic?
Our model gives 64% to Emma Lene, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.