Tennis · UTR Pro Knoxville · 14/07, 22:30
Prediction: Chase Robinson vs Ainius Sabaliauskas
Prediction summary
Winner
Chase Robinson
Ainius Sabaliauskas
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Chase Robinson
6-4 (W-L)
Ainius Sabaliauskas
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chase Robinson 1493 · Ainius Sabaliauskas 1521
| Chase Robinson | Ainius Sabaliauskas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Chase Robinson | Ainius Sabaliauskas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-12.2 | 11.8-9.9 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 4.9 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 60.8% | 74.8% |
| Break % | 32.6% | 26.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chase Robinson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | David Krasner UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Davis Wiley UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/12 | Nathan Pitts UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
1-2 | 17-20 | L |
| 11/12 | Lefteri Apostolou UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/12 | Aleksandr Kalinin UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/12 | Ryoma Mishiro UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/12 | Woohyuk Chang UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 03/08 | James Lorenzetti UTR Pro Blacksburg · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 02/08 | Eyal Shumilov UTR Pro Blacksburg · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 01/08 | Pablo Perez Ramos UTR Pro Blacksburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Ainius Sabaliauskas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Cornelius Alexander Shalmi UTR Pro Boston · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Evan Sharygin UTR Pro Boston · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 09/06 | Andrew Kotzen UTR Pro Boston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/06 | Shaurya Bharadwaj UTR Pro Philadelphia · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 05/06 | Kase Schinnerer UTR Pro Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Lun Obrul UTR Pro Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/06 | Nischal Spurling UTR Pro Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 02/06 | Colson Wells UTR Pro Philadelphia · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 08/10 | Jack Loge M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Takuya Komura M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chase Robinson vs Ainius Sabaliauskas?
Our model gives 64% to Ainius Sabaliauskas, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.