Tennis · UTR Pro Knoxville · 14/07, 19:30

Prediction: Cassius Chinlund vs Nathan Pitts

Prediction summary
Winner
69% 31%
Cassius Chinlund Nathan Pitts
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Cassius Chinlund 7-3 (W-L)
LLWWLWWWWW
Nathan Pitts 5-5 (W-L)
WWLLWWWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cassius Chinlund 1520 · Nathan Pitts 1471
Cassius ChinlundNathan Pitts
Our model57%43%
Market79%21%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cassius Chinlund (rating 1520 vs 1471).

Statistics

Cassius ChinlundNathan Pitts
Win %50%40%
Win % · Hard 50% (10) 40% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.11-1.4
Games (G-P)11.7-1011.4-11.4
Aces2.71.8
Double faults2.43.3
1st serve %66.4%61.4%
Break %47.3%57.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cassius Chinlund

WLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/06 Pavel Bushuev
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
27/06 Brock Anderson
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
27/06 David Duong
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-1 16-15 W
25/06 Robert Yang
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
1-2 16-13 L
24/06 Benjamin Berger
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
23/06 Vicente Freda
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
02/01 Justin Chung
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
1-2 12-14 L
31/12 Vlad Cristian Breazu
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
28/12 Alexander Chang
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
27/12 Spencer Johnson
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 6-12 L

Nathan Pitts

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/06 Gabe Avram
UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
25/06 Nicholas Mangiapane
UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard
2-1 16-13 W
24/06 Mitchell Sheldon
UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard
0-2 7-13 L
23/06 Carson Baker
UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard
1-2 14-15 L
24/04 Sebastian Bielen
UTR Pro Clemson · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
23/04 Alan Jesudason
UTR Pro Clemson · Hard
2-1 19-13 W
22/04 Joaquin Benoit
UTR Pro Clemson · Hard
0-2 6-13 L
22/04 Gordon Gallagher
UTR Pro Clemson · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
21/04 Ivan Yatsuk
UTR Pro Clemson · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
14/12 Lucas Perez
UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard
1-2 16-14 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cassius Chinlund vs Nathan Pitts?

Our model gives 69% to Cassius Chinlund, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.