Tennis · WTA Kitzbuhel · 15/07, 11:00
Prediction: Erika Andreeva vs Mia Ristic
Prediction summary
Winner
Erika Andreeva
Mia Ristic
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Erika Andreeva
5-5 (W-L)
Mia Ristic
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Erika Andreeva 1496 · Mia Ristic 1560
| Erika Andreeva | Mia Ristic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mia Ristic (rating 1496 vs 1560).
Statistics
| Erika Andreeva | Mia Ristic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-10.9 | 11-8.7 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 60% | 63.2% |
| Break % | 53.9% | 47.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Erika Andreeva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Despina Papamichail WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/07 | Anna Blinkova WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 24/06 | Kayla Day Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Yexin Ma Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/06 | Lea Boskovic W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 04/06 | Maria Timofeeva WTA Makarska · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Elina Avanesyan WTA Makarska · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 21/05 | Tyra Caterina Grant W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/05 | Vivian Wolff W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 19/05 | Mina Hodzic W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
Mia Ristic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Mia Pohankova WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 09/07 | Alena Kovackova W75 The Hague |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Jessica Pieri W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/06 | Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah WTA Brescia · Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 16/06 | Deborah Chiesa WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 15/06 | Noemi Basiletti WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/06 | Verena Meliss WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 12/06 | Elina Avanesyan W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Ekaterina Kazionova W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/06 | Tena Lukas W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 9-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Erika Andreeva vs Mia Ristic?
Our model gives 51% to Mia Ristic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.