Tennis · WTA Kitzbuhel · 13/07, 12:30

Prediction: Mia Ristic vs Mia Pohankova

Prediction summary
Winner
51% 49%
Mia Ristic Mia Pohankova
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Mia Ristic 7-3 (W-L)
LWWLWWWWWL
Mia Pohankova 4-6 (W-L)
LWLLWLWLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mia Ristic 1531 · Mia Pohankova 1517
Mia RisticMia Pohankova
Our model52%48%
Market50%50%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Mia RisticMia Pohankova
Win %60%50%
Win % · Clay 63% (8) 75% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.91.2-1.2
Games (G-P)11.4-9.310.4-11.8
Aces1.43.9
Double faults1.23.4
1st serve %63%63.3%
Break %46.1%37.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mia Ristic

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/07 Alena Kovackova
W75 The Hague
0-2 5-12 L
07/07 Jessica Pieri
W75 The Hague
2-0 12-2 W
17/06 Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah
WTA Brescia · Clay
1-2 11-18 L
16/06 Deborah Chiesa
WTA Brescia · Clay
2-1 16-15 W
15/06 Noemi Basiletti
WTA Brescia · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
14/06 Verena Meliss
WTA Brescia · Clay
2-0 12-2 W
12/06 Elina Avanesyan
W100 Zagreb · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
11/06 Ekaterina Kazionova
W100 Zagreb · ~Clay
2-0 12-8 W
10/06 Tena Lukas
W100 Zagreb · ~Clay
2-0 9-5 W
04/06 Lola Radivojevic
WTA Makarska · Clay
1-2 17-14 L

Mia Pohankova

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/07 Ekaterine Gorgodze
W100 Aschaffenburg
1-2 7-13 L
23/06 Harmony Tan
Wimbledon Women · Grass
1-2 13-15 L
15/06 Rebeka Masarova
WTA Berlin · Grass
0-2 5-12 L
13/06 Tamara Korpatsch
WTA Berlin · Grass
2-0 13-8 W
11/06 Magda Linette
WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass
0-2 4-12 L
08/06 Clara Tauson
WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass
2-0 12-8 W
03/05 Noma Noha Akugue
W100 Wiesbaden · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
02/05 Francesca Jones
W100 Wiesbaden · ~Clay
2-1 14-16 W
01/05 Tessa Johanna Brockmann
W100 Wiesbaden · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
30/04 Simona Waltert
W100 Wiesbaden · ~Clay
2-1 15-13 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mia Ristic vs Mia Pohankova?

Our model gives 51% to Mia Ristic, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.