Tennis · WTA Kitzbuhel · 14/07, 11:00
Prediction: Laura Pigossi vs Laura Samsonova
Prediction summary
Winner
Laura Pigossi
Laura Samsonova
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Laura Pigossi
4-6 (W-L)
Laura Samsonova
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Laura Pigossi 1470 · Laura Samsonova 1548
| Laura Pigossi | Laura Samsonova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Laura Samsonova (rating 1470 vs 1548).
- Laura Samsonova is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Laura Samsonova makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Laura Pigossi | Laura Samsonova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 44% (9) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.8-10.6 | 11.5-10.4 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 49.2% | 59.6% |
| Break % | 30.5% | 47.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Laura Pigossi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Maria Lourdes Carle WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Oceane Dodin Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/06 | Deborah Chiesa W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Anastasia Tikhonova W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/06 | Gabriella Da Silva Fick W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/05 | Claire Liu French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 08/05 | Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales WTA Istanbul · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Linda Fruhvirtova WTA Istanbul · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 05/05 | Lucia Cortez Llorca WTA Istanbul · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 30/04 | Daria Kasatkina WTA La Bisbal D'Emporda · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Laura Samsonova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Katie Volynets Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Lucia Bronzetti WTA Modena · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Kaitlin Quevedo WTA Modena · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/06 | Darja Semenistaja WTA Modena · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/06 | Xiyu Wang WTA Modena · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 03/06 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia WTA Makarska · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Lola Radivojevic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 30/05 | Lisa Zaar W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 29/05 | Teodora Kostovic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/05 | Maria Sara Popa W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Laura Pigossi vs Laura Samsonova?
Our model gives 69% to Laura Samsonova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.