Tennis · Challenger Newport MD · 12/07, 17:00
Prediction: Romboli/Smith vs Reynolds/Watt
Prediction summary
Winner
Romboli/Smith
Reynolds/Watt
Estimated games
26.8
Recent form · 10 last
Romboli/Smith
5-5 (W-L)
Reynolds/Watt
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Romboli/Smith 1532 · Reynolds/Watt 1567
| Romboli/Smith | Reynolds/Watt | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Romboli/Smith | Reynolds/Watt | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Grass | 63% (8) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.8-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.9-13 | 16.1-14.2 |
| Aces | 4.5 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 76% | 77.2% |
| Break % | 34% | 36.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Romboli/Smith
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Lammons/Withrow Challenger Newport MD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/07 | Jung/McDonald Challenger Newport MD · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 09/07 | Noguchi/Watanabe Challenger Newport MD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/07 | Andreozzi/Guinard Wimbledon MD · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Drzewiecki/Majchrzak Wimbledon MD · Grass |
2-1 | 19-19 | W |
| 11/06 | Kirkov/Miedler ATP Stuttgart MD · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Luz/Matos ATP Stuttgart MD · Grass |
2-1 | 20-17 | W |
| 03/06 | Hidalgo/Trhac Challenger Birmingham MD · Grass |
1-2 | 17-20 | L |
| 27/05 | Hidalgo/Trhac French Open MD · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 05/05 | Goldhoff/Ingildsen Challenger Francavilla MD · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Reynolds/Watt
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Isaro/Kaliyanda Poonacha Challenger Newport MD · Grass |
2-1 | 9-10 | W |
| 10/07 | Broady/Myneni Challenger Newport MD · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/07 | Pearson/Puttergill Challenger Newport MD · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/07 | Nam/Niklas-Salminen Challenger Cary MD · Hard |
1-2 | 20-22 | L |
| 05/07 | Harper/Hilderbrand Challenger Cary MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/07 | Camus/Sabaliauskas Challenger Cary MD · Hard |
2-1 | 26-22 | W |
| 03/07 | Ayeni/Cook Challenger Cary MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/06 | Romboli/Winegar Challenger Nottingham MD · Grass |
1-2 | 16-22 | L |
| 18/06 | Gille/Verbeek Challenger Nottingham MD · Grass |
2-1 | 25-20 | W |
| 17/06 | Reymond/Sanchez Challenger Nottingham MD · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Romboli/Smith vs Reynolds/Watt?
Our model gives 50% to Romboli/Smith, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.