Tennis · Challenger Newport MD · 07/07, 19:00
Prediction: Bianchi/Milavsky vs Isaro/Kaliyanda Poonacha
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 62% to Isaro/Kaliyanda Poonacha; the market gives 61% to Isaro/Kaliyanda Poonacha (odds 1.53).
On recent form, Bianchi/Milavsky is 8-2 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Isaro/Kaliyanda Poonacha 9-1 over theirs.
61%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bianchi/Milavsky 1475 · Isaro/Kaliyanda Poonacha 1558
| Bianchi/Milavsky | Isaro/Kaliyanda Poonacha | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Isaro/Kaliyanda Poonacha (rating 1475 vs 1558).
- Isaro/Kaliyanda Poonacha is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Bianchi/Milavsky | Isaro/Kaliyanda Poonacha | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.3 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.1-13.3 | 14.8-11.5 |
| Aces | 4 | 4.9 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 72.9% | 78.2% |
| Break % | 49.4% | 28.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bianchi/Milavsky
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/02 | Hopper/Kumar Challenger Baton Rouge MD · Hard |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 05/02 | Kozlov/Perez Challenger Cleveland MD · Hard |
1-2 | 19-21 | L |
| 04/02 | Ilagan/Vance Challenger Cleveland MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/01 | Bass/Jones Challenger San Diego MD · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 14/11 | Schell/Wessels Challenger Drummondville MD · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 13/09 | Fenty/Schachter Challenger Winston-Salem MD · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 12/09 | Harper/Monday Challenger Winston-Salem MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/09 | Delgado/Dostanic Challenger Winston-Salem MD · Hard |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 10/09 | Perez/Vance Challenger Winston-Salem MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/08 | Araujo/Marques ITF M25 Idanha-A-Nova MD · Hard |
1-2 | 11-8 | L |
Isaro/Kaliyanda Poonacha
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Nam/Niklas-Salminen Challenger Cary MD · Hard |
1-2 | 20-22 | L |
| 04/07 | Bianchi/Harper Challenger Cary MD · Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 04/07 | Bianchi/Harper Challenger Cary MD · Hard |
2-1 | 22-17 | W |
| 03/07 | Leroux/Manning Challenger Cary MD · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 20/06 | Paul/Seggerman Challenger Parma MD · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/06 | Lammons/Withrow Challenger Parma MD · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Kadhe/Zormann Challenger Parma MD · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/06 | Goldhoff/Harper Challenger Parma MD · Clay |
2-1 | 21-21 | W |
| 13/06 | Mansouri/Neuchrist Challenger Lyon MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 12/06 | Arias/Ingildsen Challenger Lyon MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bianchi/Milavsky vs Isaro/Kaliyanda Poonacha?
Our model gives 61% to Isaro/Kaliyanda Poonacha, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.