Tennis · WTA Contrexeville · 10/07, 11:00
Prediction: Francesca Curmi vs Jeline Vandromme
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 61% to Francesca Curmi; the market gives 41% to Francesca Curmi (odds 2.25).
Over their last 10 matches, Francesca Curmi sits at 9-1 (W-L), while Jeline Vandromme arrives on a 4-6 run.
50%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francesca Curmi 1633 · Jeline Vandromme 1554
| Francesca Curmi | Jeline Vandromme | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Francesca Curmi (rating 1633 vs 1554).
Statistics
| Francesca Curmi | Jeline Vandromme | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 90% (10) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.3 | 1.7-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-8.1 | 14.1-10.5 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 62.3% | 66.3% |
| Break % | 48.3% | 47.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francesca Curmi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Rebeka Masarova WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/07 | Oceane Dodin WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/06 | Alevtina Ibragimova W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/06 | Ipek Oz W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 18/06 | Jenny Lim W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 17/06 | Lola Radivojevic W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Astrid Lew Yan Foon W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/06 | Elena Ruxandra Bertea W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 11/06 | Isabella Shinikova W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/06 | Sofya Lansere W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
1-0 | 7-6 | W |
Jeline Vandromme
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Oksana Selekhmeteva WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 07/07 | Diana Martynov WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/06 | Mariam Bolkvadze Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 24/06 | Maria Lourdes Carle Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 23/06 | Yue Yuan Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 19/06 | Ayla Aksu WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 18/06 | Valentina Ryser WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/06 | Allura Zamarripa WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 10/06 | Kaitlin Quevedo WTA Modena · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 08/06 | Angela Fita Boluda WTA Modena · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francesca Curmi vs Jeline Vandromme?
Our model gives 50% to Francesca Curmi, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.