Tennis · WTA Contrexeville · 09/07, 10:00
Prediction: Clara Burel vs Alicia Herrero Linana
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 61% to Alicia Herrero Linana; the market gives 75% to Clara Burel (odds 1.25).
Recent form leaves Clara Burel with 5 wins and 5 losses over 10 games; Alicia Herrero Linana has piled up 8-2 in the same span.
59%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Clara Burel 1535 · Alicia Herrero Linana 1613
| Clara Burel | Alicia Herrero Linana | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alicia Herrero Linana (rating 1535 vs 1613).
Statistics
| Clara Burel | Alicia Herrero Linana | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | 100% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.8-0.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-9.6 | 12-4.6 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 3 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 61.3% | 66.1% |
| Break % | 53.2% | 54.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Clara Burel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Petra Marcinko WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 17/06 | Despina Papamichail W75 Blois · ~Clay |
0-1 | 3-6 | L |
| 16/06 | Jana Otzipka W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 14/06 | Jenny Lim W35 Nice |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 13/06 | Maria Sara Popa W35 Nice |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/06 | Alevtina Ibragimova W35 Nice |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/06 | Deborah Chiesa W35 Nice |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 09/06 | Astrid Lew Yan Foon W35 Nice |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/05 | Katie Volynets French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Tamara Korpatsch WTA Paris · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
Alicia Herrero Linana
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Elina Avanesyan WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/07 | Lucie Nguyen Tan WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/07 | Dune Vaissaud WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-1 | 17-8 | W |
| 25/06 | Savannah Broadus W35 Rome |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Carolina Bohrer Martins W35 Rome |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/06 | Nadia Elle Valdez UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/06 | Harper Stone UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/06 | Addison Iacono UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 14/06 | Reese Frank UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 14/06 | Alyssa Novoa UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Clara Burel vs Alicia Herrero Linana?
Our model gives 59% to Clara Burel, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.