Tennis · WTA Contrexeville · 09/07, 11:00
Prediction: Alice Tubello vs Caroline Werner
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Caroline Werner; the market gives 58% to Alice Tubello (odds 1.61).
Over their last 10 matches, Alice Tubello sits at 5-5 (W-L), while Caroline Werner arrives on a 8-2 run.
54%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alice Tubello 1532 · Caroline Werner 1540
| Alice Tubello | Caroline Werner | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Alice Tubello 2–0 Caroline Werner (2).
Statistics
| Alice Tubello | Caroline Werner | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-11.4 | 11.7-9.7 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 57.3% | 60.3% |
| Break % | 45.9% | 44.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
H2H · Alice Tubello 2 – 0 Caroline Werner (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alice Tubello 2–0 Caroline Werner
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/03/24 W15 Monastir | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/03/20 ITF W15 Amiens | 2-1 | 17-12 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alice Tubello
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Yufei Ren WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 05/07 | Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 04/07 | Lisa Pigato W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/07 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/07 | Julie Struplova W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 01/07 | Andreea Prisacariu W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/06 | Elena Pridankina Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Dominika Salkova WTA Modena · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 02/06 | Carole Monnet WTA Foggia · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Donna Vekic French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Caroline Werner
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Dominika Salkova WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Alina Charaeva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 23/06 | Alice Rame Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 10/06 | Amarissa Kiara Toth W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/05 | Tyra Caterina Grant W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Justina Mikulskyte W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 21/05 | Lucija Ciric Bagaric W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/05 | Elena Ruxandra Bertea W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/05 | Arina Bulatova W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/05 | Luisina Giovannini W75 Trnava |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alice Tubello vs Caroline Werner?
Our model gives 54% to Alice Tubello, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.