Prediction: Francesca Jones vs Leolia Jeanjean
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Leolia Jeanjean; the market gives 50% to Leolia Jeanjean (odds 1.83).
On recent form, Francesca Jones is 3-7 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Leolia Jeanjean 5-5 over theirs.
| Francesca Jones | Leolia Jeanjean | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Francesca Jones 1–0 Leolia Jeanjean (1).
- Note: Francesca Jones makes many double faults (4.9/match).
- Note: Leolia Jeanjean makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Francesca Jones | Leolia Jeanjean | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.6 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-12.5 | 11.7-11.9 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 59.9% | 68% |
| Break % | 34.7% | 45.4% |
H2H · Francesca Jones 1 – 0 Leolia Jeanjean (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Francesca Jones 1–0 Leolia Jeanjean
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/03/25 ITF W75 Vacaria | 2-1 | 13-11 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francesca Jones
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Alice Rame WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/06 | Diane Parry Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Jelena Ostapenko WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Talia Gibson WTA Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 09/06 | Laura Siegemund WTA Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Marie Bouzkova French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 24/05 | Beatriz Haddad Maia French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 19/05 | Yelyzaveta Kotliar WTA Rabat · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 08/05 | Maria Timofeeva WTA Istanbul · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/05 | Carole Monnet WTA Istanbul · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
Leolia Jeanjean
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Amandine Monnot WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Daria Snigur Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Veronika Erjavec Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 25/06 | Katie Volynets Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Ekaterine Gorgodze Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Xiaodi You Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 02/06 | Kajsa Rinaldo Persson WTA Makarska · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 25/05 | Kaitlin Quevedo French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 17/05 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 07/05 | Jasmine Paolini WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francesca Jones vs Leolia Jeanjean?
Our model gives 51% to Leolia Jeanjean, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.