Tennis · WTA Contrexeville · 09/07, 11:00

Prediction: Amandine Hesse vs Mayar Sherif

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 57% to Mayar Sherif; the market gives 86% to Mayar Sherif (odds 1.10).

Recent form leaves Amandine Hesse with 5 wins and 5 losses over 10 games; Mayar Sherif has piled up 7-3 in the same span.

73%2
27% 73%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Amandine Hesse 1552 · Mayar Sherif 1601
Amandine HesseMayar Sherif
Our model43%57%
Market14%86%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mayar Sherif (rating 1552 vs 1601).
  • Head-to-head: Amandine Hesse 0–1 Mayar Sherif (1).

Statistics

Amandine HesseMayar Sherif
Win %60%70%
Win % · Clay 67% (9) 78% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.2-11.5-0.7
Games (G-P)9.8-8.511.1-8.2
Aces2.30.9
Double faults2.73.1
1st serve %67.8%60.6%
Break %53.2%38.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.2

H2H · Amandine Hesse 01 Mayar Sherif (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Amandine Hesse 01 Mayar Sherif

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DateSetsGamesRes.
10/08/19
ITF W25 LPD Gran Canaria
1-215-16L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Amandine Hesse

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/07 Barbora Palicova
WTA Contrexeville · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
27/06 Eva Vedder
W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
26/06 Fangran Tian
W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay
2-1 17-11 W
25/06 Viktoria Morvayova
W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay
2-1 16-9 W
22/06 Carmen Lopez Martinez
W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
18/06 Alevtina Ibragimova
W75 Blois · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
17/06 Anastasiia Firman
W75 Blois · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
16/06 Jasmijn Gimbrere
W75 Blois · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
10/06 Tatiana Pieri
W35 Nice
0-2 3-12 L
16/05 Elina Avanesyan
WTA Rabat · Clay
0-2 8-13 L

Mayar Sherif

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/07 Yasmine Kabbaj
WTA Contrexeville · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
23/06 Heather Watson
Wimbledon Women · Grass
0-2 4-12 L
21/06 Xiyu Wang
WTA Brescia · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
20/06 Elizara Yaneva
WTA Brescia · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
19/06 Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah
WTA Brescia · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
18/06 Jennifer Ruggeri
WTA Brescia · Clay
2-1 15-12 W
15/06 Raluca Georgiana Serban
WTA Brescia · Clay
2-0 13-7 W
11/06 Leyre Romero Gormaz
WTA Modena · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
09/06 Giorgia Pedone
WTA Modena · Clay
2-0 12-2 W
04/06 Giorgia Pedone
WTA Foggia · Clay
1-2 13-14 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Amandine Hesse vs Mayar Sherif?

Our model gives 73% to Mayar Sherif, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.