Tennis · WTA Contrexeville · 07/07, 11:00
Prediction: Jeline Vandromme vs Diana Martynov
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 56% to Diana Martynov; the market gives 83% to Jeline Vandromme (odds 1.13).
Recent form leaves Jeline Vandromme with 2 wins and 8 losses over 10 games; Diana Martynov has piled up 6-4 in the same span.
66%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jeline Vandromme 1502 · Diana Martynov 1543
| Jeline Vandromme | Diana Martynov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Diana Martynov (rating 1502 vs 1543).
Statistics
| Jeline Vandromme | Diana Martynov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 25% (4) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.3 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-12.5 | 10.7-8.4 |
| Aces | 5.2 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 62.3% | 63.8% |
| Break % | 51.2% | 37.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jeline Vandromme
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Mariam Bolkvadze Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 24/06 | Maria Lourdes Carle Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 23/06 | Yue Yuan Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 19/06 | Ayla Aksu WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 18/06 | Valentina Ryser WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/06 | Allura Zamarripa WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 10/06 | Kaitlin Quevedo WTA Modena · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 08/06 | Angela Fita Boluda WTA Modena · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/05 | Aoi Ito French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 06/05 | Katarina Zavatska W75 Saint-Gaudens · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Diana Martynov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Astrid Lew Yan Foon WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 05/07 | Michaela Bayerlova WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/06 | Ipek Oz W75 Blois · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 16/06 | Kim Chiarello W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/06 | Tatiana Pieri W35 Nice |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Kayla Lorrimer W35 Nice |
2-0 | 11-3 | W |
| 07/05 | Teodora Kostovic W75 Saint-Gaudens · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Julia Avdeeva W75 Saint-Gaudens · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/05 | Adrienn Nagy W75 Saint-Gaudens · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 03/05 | Maya Bories W75 Saint-Gaudens · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jeline Vandromme vs Diana Martynov?
Our model gives 66% to Jeline Vandromme, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.