Tennis · WTA Contrexeville · 07/07, 11:00
Prediction: Elina Avanesyan vs Alicia Herrero Linana
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Elina Avanesyan; the market gives 83% to Elina Avanesyan (odds 1.13).
Over their last 10 matches, Elina Avanesyan sits at 8-2 (W-L), while Alicia Herrero Linana arrives on a 8-2 run.
69%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elina Avanesyan 1617 · Alicia Herrero Linana 1598
| Elina Avanesyan | Alicia Herrero Linana | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Elina Avanesyan | Alicia Herrero Linana | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 86% (7) | 100% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.5 | 1.7-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-6.9 | 12.1-5.7 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 63% | 65.8% |
| Break % | 53.8% | 56.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elina Avanesyan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Elena Malygina Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/06 | Enki Hyseni Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 17/06 | Michelle Dzjachangirova Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/06 | Kajsa Rinaldo Persson W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/06 | Iva Primorac Pavicic W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/06 | Mia Ristic W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 11/06 | Lea Boskovic W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 09/06 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/06 | Darja Semenistaja WTA Makarska · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Barbora Palicova WTA Makarska · Clay |
2-1 | 15-7 | W |
Alicia Herrero Linana
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Lucie Nguyen Tan WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/07 | Dune Vaissaud WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-1 | 17-8 | W |
| 25/06 | Savannah Broadus W35 Rome |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Carolina Bohrer Martins W35 Rome |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/06 | Nadia Elle Valdez UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/06 | Harper Stone UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/06 | Addison Iacono UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 14/06 | Reese Frank UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 14/06 | Alyssa Novoa UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 04/06 | Kylie Collins W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elina Avanesyan vs Alicia Herrero Linana?
Our model gives 69% to Elina Avanesyan, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.