Tennis · WTA Contrexeville · 07/07, 11:00
Prediction: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Elsa Jacquemot
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 67% to Aurora Zantedeschi; the market gives 35% to Aurora Zantedeschi (odds 2.63).
Over their last 10 matches, Aurora Zantedeschi sits at 8-2 (W-L), while Elsa Jacquemot arrives on a 3-7 run.
50%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aurora Zantedeschi 1561 · Elsa Jacquemot 1435
| Aurora Zantedeschi | Elsa Jacquemot | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aurora Zantedeschi (rating 1561 vs 1435).
- Aurora Zantedeschi is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Elsa Jacquemot makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Aurora Zantedeschi | Elsa Jacquemot | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 0.7-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-9.6 | 10.2-12.9 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 5.4 |
| 1st serve % | 65.7% | 64.7% |
| Break % | 50.2% | 40.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aurora Zantedeschi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Alina Granwehr W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Madison Sieg W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/07 | Astrid Lew Yan Foon W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/07 | Isabella Maria Serban W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 30/06 | Meline Lataste W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/06 | Nadia Podoroska W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Alessandra Mazzola W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 11/06 | Sofia Rocchetti W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/06 | Carolina Troiano W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/06 | Alessandra Mazzola W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Elsa Jacquemot
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Naomi Osaka Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 21/06 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 20/06 | Mimi Xu WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 13/06 | Sofia Kenin WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Hanyu Guo WTA Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 28/05 | Aryna Sabalenka French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 26/05 | Linda Fruhvirtova French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/05 | Anastasia Zakharova WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 05/05 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Bianca Andreescu WTA Saint-Malo · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aurora Zantedeschi vs Elsa Jacquemot?
Our model gives 50% to Aurora Zantedeschi, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.