Prediction: Maria Lourdes Carle vs Laura Pigossi
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 50% to Maria Lourdes Carle; the market gives 69% to Maria Lourdes Carle (odds 1.36).
Recent form leaves Maria Lourdes Carle with 5 wins and 5 losses over 10 games; Laura Pigossi has piled up 4-6 in the same span.
| Maria Lourdes Carle | Laura Pigossi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Maria Lourdes Carle dominates on serve: 9.8 aces and 52.5% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Maria Lourdes Carle 0–3 Laura Pigossi (3).
- Note: Maria Lourdes Carle makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Maria Lourdes Carle | Laura Pigossi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-11.6 | 9.1-10.8 |
| Aces | 9.8 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 59.4% | 50.9% |
| Break % | 52.5% | 31.4% |
H2H · Maria Lourdes Carle 0 – 3 Laura Pigossi (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maria Lourdes Carle 0–3 Laura Pigossi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/12/23 WTA Buenos Aires | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/10/21 ITF W25 Rio do Sul | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/02/18 ITF Women Curitiba | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maria Lourdes Carle
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Lisa Pigato W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Dalila Jakupovic W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Valentina Steiner W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 24/06 | Jeline Vandromme Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 23/06 | Lucie Havlickova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 16/06 | Anastasiia Firman W75 Blois · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Rebecca Sramkova French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 20/05 | Maria Timofeeva French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 19/05 | Rebeka Masarova French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 05/05 | Barbora Palicova W100 Indian Harbour Beach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Laura Pigossi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Oceane Dodin Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/06 | Deborah Chiesa W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Anastasia Tikhonova W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/06 | Gabriella Da Silva Fick W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/05 | Claire Liu French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 08/05 | Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales WTA Istanbul · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Linda Fruhvirtova WTA Istanbul · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 05/05 | Lucia Cortez Llorca WTA Istanbul · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 30/04 | Daria Kasatkina WTA La Bisbal D'Emporda · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA La Bisbal D'Emporda · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maria Lourdes Carle vs Laura Pigossi?
Our model gives 60% to Maria Lourdes Carle, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.