Tennis · WTA Contrexeville · 06/07, 12:30

Prediction: Julia Grabher vs Rebeka Masarova

Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 59% to Rebeka Masarova; the market gives 65% to Rebeka Masarova (odds 1.44).

On recent form, Julia Grabher is 3-7 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Rebeka Masarova 4-6 over theirs.

62%2
38% 62%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Julia Grabher 1473 · Rebeka Masarova 1535
Julia GrabherRebeka Masarova
Our model41%59%
Market35%65%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rebeka Masarova (rating 1473 vs 1535).
  • Rebeka Masarova dominates on serve: 7.7 aces and 48.9% break avg.
  • Rebeka Masarova is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Head-to-head: Julia Grabher 0–1 Rebeka Masarova (1).
  • Note: Julia Grabher makes many double faults (5.7/match).

Statistics

Julia GrabherRebeka Masarova
Win %40%70%
Win % · Grass 0% (1) 70% (10)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.31.5-1
Games (G-P)11.4-10.912.8-9.6
Aces1.77.7
Double faults5.73.8
1st serve %63.4%74.4%
Break %52.7%48.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.2

H2H · Julia Grabher 01 Rebeka Masarova (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Julia Grabher 01 Rebeka Masarova

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DateSetsGamesRes.
29/03/22
WTA Marbella
1-213-14L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Julia Grabher

WLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/06 Mariam Bolkvadze
Wimbledon Women · Grass
0-2 10-13 L
17/06 Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva
WTA Brescia · Clay
1-2 13-17 L
16/06 Chloe Paquet
WTA Brescia · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
11/06 Lucia Bronzetti
WTA Modena · Clay
0-2 12-14 L
09/06 Andrea Lazaro Garcia
WTA Modena · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
25/05 Rebecca Sramkova
French Open Women · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
18/05 Jil Teichmann
WTA Rabat · Clay
0-2 10-13 L
05/05 Dalma Galfi
WTA Rome · Clay
0-2 10-13 L
04/05 Aliaksandra Sasnovich
WTA Rome · Clay
2-1 16-12 W
01/05 Francesca Jones
W100 Wiesbaden · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L

Rebeka Masarova

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/06 Jil Teichmann
Wimbledon Women · Grass
0-2 10-13 L
16/06 Katerina Siniakova
WTA Berlin · Grass
0-2 6-12 L
15/06 Mia Pohankova
WTA Berlin · Grass
2-0 12-5 W
13/06 Noma Noha Akugue
WTA Berlin · Grass
2-1 16-9 W
06/06 Alexandra Eala
WTA Birmingham · Grass
1-2 11-16 L
05/06 Mary Stoiana
WTA Birmingham · Grass
2-1 15-10 W
04/06 Tatjana Maria
WTA Birmingham · Grass
2-0 12-7 W
02/06 Tereza Martincova
WTA Birmingham · Grass
2-1 18-9 W
31/05 Celine Naef
WTA Birmingham · Grass
2-1 16-10 W
30/05 Emily Appleton
WTA Birmingham · Grass
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Julia Grabher vs Rebeka Masarova?

Our model gives 62% to Rebeka Masarova, using surface Elo on grass.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.