Tennis · WTA Contrexeville · 06/07, 14:00
Prediction: Caroline Werner vs Dominika Salkova
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Caroline Werner; the market gives 69% to Dominika Salkova (odds 1.36).
Recent form leaves Caroline Werner with 8 wins and 2 losses over 10 games; Dominika Salkova has piled up 6-4 in the same span.
60%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Caroline Werner 1517 · Dominika Salkova 1505
| Caroline Werner | Dominika Salkova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Dominika Salkova dominates on serve: 9.7 aces and 53.1% break avg.
- Note: Dominika Salkova makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Caroline Werner | Dominika Salkova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-9.5 | 12.2-11.2 |
| Aces | 1 | 9.7 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 60.9% | 61.3% |
| Break % | 50.7% | 53.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Caroline Werner
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Alina Charaeva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 23/06 | Alice Rame Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 10/06 | Amarissa Kiara Toth W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/05 | Tyra Caterina Grant W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Justina Mikulskyte W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 21/05 | Lucija Ciric Bagaric W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/05 | Elena Ruxandra Bertea W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/05 | Arina Bulatova W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/05 | Luisina Giovannini W75 Trnava |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 13/05 | Gabriela Knutson W75 Trnava |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Dominika Salkova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Iryna Shymanovich Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 12/06 | Katarzyna Kawa WTA Modena · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Martina Trevisan WTA Modena · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/06 | Alice Tubello WTA Modena · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 04/06 | Elina Avanesyan WTA Makarska · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 02/06 | Ana Konjuh WTA Makarska · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/05 | Susan Bandecchi French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 18/05 | Veronika Podrez French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/05 | Maria Camila Osorio WTA Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 13/05 | Mayar Sherif WTA Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Caroline Werner vs Dominika Salkova?
Our model gives 60% to Dominika Salkova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.