Tennis · WTA Contrexeville · 07/07, 11:00
Prediction: Alice Tubello vs Yufei Ren
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Yufei Ren; the market gives 77% to Alice Tubello (odds 1.22).
Over their last 10 matches, Alice Tubello sits at 5-5 (W-L), while Yufei Ren arrives on a 4-6 run.
63%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alice Tubello 1492 · Yufei Ren 1523
| Alice Tubello | Yufei Ren | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Yufei Ren makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Alice Tubello | Yufei Ren | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-11.1 | 11.7-9.9 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 1 |
| Double faults | 3 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 57.2% | 61.4% |
| Break % | 50.5% | 44% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alice Tubello
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 04/07 | Lisa Pigato W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/07 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/07 | Julie Struplova W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 01/07 | Andreea Prisacariu W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/06 | Elena Pridankina Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Dominika Salkova WTA Modena · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 02/06 | Carole Monnet WTA Foggia · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Donna Vekic French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Alina Charaeva WTA Paris · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Yufei Ren
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06 | Daria Khomutsianskaya W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 18/06 | Qiu Yu Ye W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/06 | Priska Madelyn Nugroho W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 10/06 | Junhan Zhang W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/06 | Xinxin Yao W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Rina Saigo W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/06 | Yidi Yang W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/06 | Yanan Hou W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 02/06 | Sijia Wei W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 19/05 | Rina Saigo W100 Takasaki · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alice Tubello vs Yufei Ren?
Our model gives 63% to Alice Tubello, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.