Tennis · WTA Contrexeville · 07/07, 11:00
Prediction: Petra Marcinko vs Clara Burel
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Clara Burel; the market gives 66% to Petra Marcinko (odds 1.40).
On recent form, Petra Marcinko is 8-2 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Clara Burel 5-5 over theirs.
58%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Petra Marcinko 1530 · Clara Burel 1541
| Petra Marcinko | Clara Burel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Petra Marcinko makes many double faults (7.9/match).
Statistics
| Petra Marcinko | Clara Burel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 63% (8) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.2 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.7-11.3 | 11.4-9.7 |
| Aces | 4.1 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 7.9 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 69.3% | 59.9% |
| Break % | 37.2% | 52.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Petra Marcinko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Sofia Kenin Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Caty McNally WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 24/06 | Kimberly Birrell WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/06 | Antonia Ruzic WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 21/06 | Daria Snigur WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Simona Waltert WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 15/06 | Renata Zarazua WTA Berlin · Grass |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Aoi Ito WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 04/06 | Barbora Palicova WTA Makarska · Clay |
1-2 | 16-13 | L |
| 04/06 | Caijsa Wilda Hennemann WTA Makarska · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Clara Burel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06 | Despina Papamichail W75 Blois · ~Clay |
0-1 | 3-6 | L |
| 16/06 | Jana Otzipka W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 14/06 | Jenny Lim W35 Nice |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 13/06 | Maria Sara Popa W35 Nice |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/06 | Alevtina Ibragimova W35 Nice |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/06 | Deborah Chiesa W35 Nice |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 09/06 | Astrid Lew Yan Foon W35 Nice |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/05 | Katie Volynets French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Tamara Korpatsch WTA Paris · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 06/05 | Jessika Ponchet W75 Saint-Gaudens · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-10 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Petra Marcinko vs Clara Burel?
Our model gives 58% to Petra Marcinko, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.