Tennis · WTA Contrexeville · 06/07, 12:30

Prediction: Astrid Lew Yan Foon vs Diana Martynov

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 57% to Diana Martynov; the market gives 56% to Astrid Lew Yan Foon (odds 1.67).

Over their last 10 matches, Astrid Lew Yan Foon sits at 4-6 (W-L), while Diana Martynov arrives on a 5-5 run.

50%1
50% 50%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Astrid Lew Yan Foon 1476 · Diana Martynov 1528
Astrid Lew Yan FoonDiana Martynov
Our model43%57%
Market56%44%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Diana Martynov (rating 1476 vs 1528).
  • Diana Martynov is in better form: 60% recent wins.
  • Head-to-head: Astrid Lew Yan Foon 1–0 Diana Martynov (1).

Statistics

Astrid Lew Yan FoonDiana Martynov
Win %30%60%
Win % · Clay 38% (8) 63% (8)
Sets (G-P)0.7-1.41.2-0.9
Games (G-P)8.6-11.59.6-8.2
Aces2.71.5
Double faults3.53.5
1st serve %64.2%62.7%
Break %33.3%33.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.1

H2H · Astrid Lew Yan Foon 10 Diana Martynov (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Astrid Lew Yan Foon 10 Diana Martynov

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DateSetsGamesRes.
08/10/24
ITF W35 Joue-Les-Tours
2-012-7W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Astrid Lew Yan Foon

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/07 Gina Marie Dittmann
WTA Contrexeville · Clay
2-0 12-8 W
03/07 Aurora Zantedeschi
W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
02/07 Oceane Dodin
W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
30/06 Lamis Alhussein Abdel Aziz
W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay
2-0 13-10 W
16/06 Francesca Curmi
W75 Blois · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
09/06 Clara Burel
W35 Nice
0-2 8-12 L
04/05 Marcelina Podlinska
W75 Saint-Gaudens · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
26/04 Julie Belgraver
WTA Saint-Malo · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
11/04 Elvina Kalieva
WTA Rouen · Clay
1-2 9-17 L
18/02 Sofia Costoulas
WTA Les Sables d'Olonne · Hard
0-2 4-12 L

Diana Martynov

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/07 Michaela Bayerlova
WTA Contrexeville · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
17/06 Ipek Oz
W75 Blois · ~Clay
0-2 7-11 L
16/06 Kim Chiarello
W75 Blois · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
11/06 Tatiana Pieri
W35 Nice
0-2 3-12 L
10/06 Kayla Lorrimer
W35 Nice
2-0 11-3 W
07/05 Teodora Kostovic
W75 Saint-Gaudens · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
06/05 Julia Avdeeva
W75 Saint-Gaudens · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
04/05 Adrienn Nagy
W75 Saint-Gaudens · ~Clay
2-1 17-12 W
03/05 Maya Bories
W75 Saint-Gaudens · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
26/04 Amandine Monnot
WTA Saint-Malo · Clay
0-2 6-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Astrid Lew Yan Foon vs Diana Martynov?

Our model gives 50% to Astrid Lew Yan Foon, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.