Tennis · WTA Contrexeville · 06/07, 11:00
Prediction: Alicia Herrero Linana vs Lucie Nguyen Tan
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 57% to Alicia Herrero Linana; the market gives 50% to Alicia Herrero Linana (odds 1.83).
Over their last 10 matches, Alicia Herrero Linana sits at 8-2 (W-L), while Lucie Nguyen Tan arrives on a 6-4 run.
53%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alicia Herrero Linana 1597 · Lucie Nguyen Tan 1545
| Alicia Herrero Linana | Lucie Nguyen Tan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alicia Herrero Linana (rating 1597 vs 1545).
Statistics
| Alicia Herrero Linana | Lucie Nguyen Tan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (1) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-6.7 | 11.4-9 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 64.3% | 59.4% |
| Break % | 51.8% | 51.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alicia Herrero Linana
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Dune Vaissaud WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-1 | 17-8 | W |
| 25/06 | Savannah Broadus W35 Rome |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Carolina Bohrer Martins W35 Rome |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/06 | Nadia Elle Valdez UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/06 | Harper Stone UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/06 | Addison Iacono UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 14/06 | Reese Frank UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 14/06 | Alyssa Novoa UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 04/06 | Kylie Collins W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 03/06 | Justina Mikulskyte W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
Lucie Nguyen Tan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Yana Morderger WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/07 | Yasmine Kabbaj W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Ekaterina Kazionova W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Zoe Ulrich W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/06 | Alevtina Ibragimova W75 Blois · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Despina Papamichail W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 17/06 | Alina Granwehr W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/06 | Anouck Vrancken Peeters W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 27/05 | Joanna Garland W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Ruth Roura Llaverias W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alicia Herrero Linana vs Lucie Nguyen Tan?
Our model gives 53% to Alicia Herrero Linana, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.