Tennis · WTA Contrexeville · 06/07, 11:00
Prediction: Amandine Monnot vs Maria Sara Popa
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 61% to Maria Sara Popa; the market gives 50% to Maria Sara Popa (odds 1.83).
Recent form leaves Amandine Monnot with 4 wins and 6 losses over 10 games; Maria Sara Popa has piled up 7-3 in the same span.
55%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Amandine Monnot 1475 · Maria Sara Popa 1556
| Amandine Monnot | Maria Sara Popa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maria Sara Popa (rating 1475 vs 1556).
- Maria Sara Popa is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Maria Sara Popa makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Amandine Monnot | Maria Sara Popa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 44% (9) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.2 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.3-10.3 | 11.2-8.4 |
| Aces | 3.2 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 5.4 |
| 1st serve % | 61.3% | 65.6% |
| Break % | 49.7% | 47% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Amandine Monnot
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Jasmijn Gimbrere WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/06 | Jana Kovackova W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 26/05 | Mia Horvit W35 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Marina Bassols Ribera French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Francesca Curmi W35 Platja d'Aro · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Lilli Tagger WTA Saint-Malo · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Alina Korneeva WTA Saint-Malo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/04 | Weronika Falkowska WTA Saint-Malo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/04 | Diana Martynov WTA Saint-Malo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/04 | Lina Glushko W50 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Maria Sara Popa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Yara Bartashevich WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/07 | Lia Karatancheva W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Britt Du Pree W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Lian Tran W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 23/06 | Alessandra Mazzola W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 13/06 | Clara Burel W35 Nice |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Iva Ivanova W35 Nice |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 10/06 | Yelyzaveta Kotliar W35 Nice |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/06 | Daria Yesypchuk W15 Focsani · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-10 | L |
| 05/06 | Diana-Ioana Simionescu W15 Focsani · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Amandine Monnot vs Maria Sara Popa?
Our model gives 55% to Maria Sara Popa, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.