Tennis · Challenger Cary MD · 06/07, 01:30
Prediction: Reynolds/Watt vs Nam/Niklas-Salminen
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Reynolds/Watt; the market gives 58% to Reynolds/Watt (odds 1.61).
On recent form, Reynolds/Watt is 8-2 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Nam/Niklas-Salminen 3-7 over theirs.
56%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Reynolds/Watt 1565 · Nam/Niklas-Salminen 1545
| Reynolds/Watt | Nam/Niklas-Salminen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Reynolds/Watt | Nam/Niklas-Salminen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (3) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 16.2-14.4 | 14.5-13.6 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 3 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 78.4% | 71.8% |
| Break % | 35.4% | 47.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Reynolds/Watt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Harper/Hilderbrand Challenger Cary MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/07 | Camus/Sabaliauskas Challenger Cary MD · Hard |
2-1 | 26-22 | W |
| 03/07 | Ayeni/Cook Challenger Cary MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/06 | Romboli/Winegar Challenger Nottingham MD · Grass |
1-2 | 16-22 | L |
| 18/06 | Gille/Verbeek Challenger Nottingham MD · Grass |
2-1 | 25-20 | W |
| 17/06 | Reymond/Sanchez Challenger Nottingham MD · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 11/06 | Holmgren/Prashanth Challenger Ilkley MD · Grass |
1-2 | 22-24 | L |
| 10/06 | Gray/Samuel Challenger Ilkley MD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/06 | Chandrasekar/Yuzuki Challenger Birmingham MD · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/06 | Doumbia/Gonzalez Challenger Birmingham MD · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Nam/Niklas-Salminen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Isaro/Kaliyanda Poonacha Challenger Cary MD · Hard |
2-1 | 22-20 | W |
| 04/07 | Lammons/Withrow Challenger Cary MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Shimizu/Watanabe Challenger Cary MD · Hard |
2-1 | 22-15 | W |
| 03/06 | Mansouri/Poljak Challenger Prostejov MD · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Bertola/Forti Challenger Vicenza MD · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/05 | Jung/Uesugi Challenger Vicenza MD · Clay |
2-1 | 21-20 | W |
| 21/05 | Banthia/Kielan Challenger Istanbul MD · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 09/05 | Rojer/Winegar Challenger Wuxi MD · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/05 | Hsu/Watanabe Challenger Wuxi MD · Hard |
2-1 | 21-17 | W |
| 07/05 | Loof/Yuzuki Challenger Wuxi MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Reynolds/Watt vs Nam/Niklas-Salminen?
Our model gives 56% to Reynolds/Watt, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.