Tennis · Challenger Cary MD · 04/07, 02:30
Prediction: Nam/Niklas-Salminen vs Lammons/Withrow
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 50% to Nam/Niklas-Salminen; the market gives 54% to Lammons/Withrow (odds 1.73).
On recent form, Nam/Niklas-Salminen is 4-6 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Lammons/Withrow 5-5 over theirs.
52%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nam/Niklas-Salminen 1530 · Lammons/Withrow 1531
| Nam/Niklas-Salminen | Lammons/Withrow | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Nam/Niklas-Salminen | Lammons/Withrow | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (5) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-12.5 | 11.2-11.5 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 4 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 69.4% | 75.7% |
| Break % | 48.6% | 29% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nam/Niklas-Salminen
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Shimizu/Watanabe Challenger Cary MD · Hard |
2-1 | 22-15 | W |
| 03/06 | Mansouri/Poljak Challenger Prostejov MD · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Bertola/Forti Challenger Vicenza MD · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/05 | Jung/Uesugi Challenger Vicenza MD · Clay |
2-1 | 21-20 | W |
| 21/05 | Banthia/Kielan Challenger Istanbul MD · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 09/05 | Rojer/Winegar Challenger Wuxi MD · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/05 | Hsu/Watanabe Challenger Wuxi MD · Hard |
2-1 | 21-17 | W |
| 07/05 | Loof/Yuzuki Challenger Wuxi MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 06/05 | Myneni/Ramanathan Challenger Wuxi MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/05 | Hsu/Watanabe Challenger Jiujiang MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Lammons/Withrow
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Bayldon/Ellis Challenger Cary MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/06 | Isaro/Kaliyanda Poonacha Challenger Parma MD · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Jung/Uesugi Challenger Parma MD · Clay |
2-1 | 19-20 | W |
| 16/06 | Kalyanpur/Taylor Challenger Parma MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 11/06 | Cervantes/Molchanov Challenger Bratislava MD · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Gadamauri/Pereira Challenger Bratislava MD · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/06 | Karol/Paulson Challenger Prostejov MD · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Cervantes/Molchanov Challenger Prostejov MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/05 | Goldhoff/Winegar Challenger Chisinau MD · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/05 | Jecan/Pavel Challenger Chisinau MD · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nam/Niklas-Salminen vs Lammons/Withrow?
Our model gives 52% to Lammons/Withrow, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.