Tennis · WTA Contrexeville · 05/07, 11:00
Prediction: Amandine Monnot vs Jasmijn Gimbrere
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 55% to Jasmijn Gimbrere; the market gives 77% to Amandine Monnot (odds 1.22).
Over their last 10 matches, Amandine Monnot sits at 4-6 (W-L), while Jasmijn Gimbrere arrives on a 6-4 run.
62%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Amandine Monnot 1457 · Jasmijn Gimbrere 1494
| Amandine Monnot | Jasmijn Gimbrere | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Amandine Monnot | Jasmijn Gimbrere | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 38% (8) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.2 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.2-9.9 | 9.4-8.2 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 62.1% | 61.6% |
| Break % | 50.7% | 59.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Amandine Monnot
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/06 | Jana Kovackova W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 26/05 | Mia Horvit W35 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Marina Bassols Ribera French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Francesca Curmi W35 Platja d'Aro · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Lilli Tagger WTA Saint-Malo · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Alina Korneeva WTA Saint-Malo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/04 | Weronika Falkowska WTA Saint-Malo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/04 | Diana Martynov WTA Saint-Malo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/04 | Lina Glushko W50 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 22/04 | Allegra Korpanec Davies W50 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Jasmijn Gimbrere
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Carlota Martinez Cirez W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Louna Zoppas W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/06 | Amandine Hesse W75 Blois · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Sarah Van Emst W35 Klagenfurt · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/05 | Loes Ebeling Koning W35 Klagenfurt · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/05 | Ines Faltinger W35 Klagenfurt · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 14/05 | Lea Nilsson W35 Bastad · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/05 | Clarissa Blomqvist W35 Bastad · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/04 | Ana Sofia Sanchez W50 Bujumbura · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 14/04 | Farah Heddar W50 Bujumbura · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Amandine Monnot vs Jasmijn Gimbrere?
Our model gives 62% to Amandine Monnot, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.