Tennis · WTA Contrexeville · 05/07, 11:00
Prediction: Polina Kudermetova vs Liv Boulard
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 55% to Polina Kudermetova; the market gives 91% to Polina Kudermetova (odds 1.03).
Recent form leaves Polina Kudermetova with 4 wins and 6 losses over 10 games; Liv Boulard has piled up 5-5 in the same span.
75%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Polina Kudermetova 1540 · Liv Boulard 1504
| Polina Kudermetova | Liv Boulard | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 91% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Polina Kudermetova dominates on serve: 11.8 aces and 46.4% break avg.
- Note: Polina Kudermetova makes many double faults (6.3/match).
Statistics
| Polina Kudermetova | Liv Boulard | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-11 | 10.3-10.7 |
| Aces | 11.8 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 6.3 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 66.9% | 53.2% |
| Break % | 46.4% | 52% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Polina Kudermetova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Ludmilla Samsonova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Alina Charaeva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 24/06 | Clervie Ngounoue Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/06 | Jessika Ponchet Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 09/06 | Marie Bouzkova WTA Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Alina Charaeva WTA Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 07/06 | Priscilla Hon WTA Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 22/05 | Xiyu Wang French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Viktoriya Tomova French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 19/05 | Anouk Koevermans French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Liv Boulard
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Ekaterina Kazionova W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Paula Ormaechea W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/06 | Emma Bousquet W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/06 | Jenny Lim W75 Blois · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Hanna Bougouffa W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 10/06 | Deborah Chiesa W35 Nice |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Carolina Dibenedetto W15 Grado · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 08/05 | Sarah Iliev W15 Reichstett · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/05 | Emily Seibold W15 Reichstett · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 05/05 | Stefania Bojica W15 Reichstett · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Polina Kudermetova vs Liv Boulard?
Our model gives 75% to Polina Kudermetova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.