Tennis · W15 Hillcrest · 04/07, 10:00
Prediction: Isabella Kruger vs Jenny Duerst
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 62% to Isabella Kruger; the market gives 50% to Isabella Kruger (odds 1.83).
On recent form, Isabella Kruger is 10-0 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Jenny Duerst 5-5 over theirs.
55%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Isabella Kruger 1606 · Jenny Duerst 1524
| Isabella Kruger | Jenny Duerst | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Isabella Kruger (rating 1606 vs 1524).
- Isabella Kruger is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Isabella Kruger | Jenny Duerst | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (6) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.3 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-5.5 | 11.2-10.2 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 68.3% | 59.5% |
| Break % | 61.3% | 50% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Isabella Kruger
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Elena Jamshidi W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 02/07 | Astrid Cirotte W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 01/07 | Dominika Podhajecka W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/04 | Jana Bozinovska Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 08/04 | Salma Loudili Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/04 | Yasmin Ezzat Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/04 | Denislava Glushkova Billie Jean King Cup |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 01/03 | Iulia Andreea Ionescu UTR Pro Henderson Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 28/02 | Eduarda Piai UTR Pro Henderson Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/02 | Taylor Gruber UTR Pro Henderson Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Jenny Duerst
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Ksenia Smirnova W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Danielle Dai Chapman W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/07 | Morgan Jordaan W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 17/06 | Elsa Bonelli W35 Klosters · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 19/05 | Emma Slavikova W15 Grado · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 07/05 | Oceane Babel W15 Reichstett · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Anais Gabriel W15 Reichstett · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/10 | Harriet Dart ITF W75 Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Ava Markham ITF W75 Saguenay · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 21/10 | Kylie Collins ITF W75 Saguenay · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Isabella Kruger vs Jenny Duerst?
Our model gives 55% to Isabella Kruger, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.