Tennis · W15 Hillcrest · 02/07, 11:00
Prediction: Isabella Kruger vs Astrid Cirotte
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 70% to Isabella Kruger; the market gives 73% to Isabella Kruger (odds 1.28).
Recent form leaves Isabella Kruger with 10 wins and 0 losses over 10 games; Astrid Cirotte has piled up 3-7 in the same span.
72%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Isabella Kruger 1607 · Astrid Cirotte 1459
| Isabella Kruger | Astrid Cirotte | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 30% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Isabella Kruger (rating 1607 vs 1459).
- Isabella Kruger is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Isabella Kruger | Astrid Cirotte | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (6) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.2 | 0.8-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-4.5 | 9.5-13.1 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 65.5% | 54.9% |
| Break % | 65.8% | 43.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Isabella Kruger
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Dominika Podhajecka W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/04 | Jana Bozinovska Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 08/04 | Salma Loudili Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/04 | Yasmin Ezzat Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/04 | Denislava Glushkova Billie Jean King Cup |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 01/03 | Iulia Andreea Ionescu UTR Pro Henderson Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 28/02 | Eduarda Piai UTR Pro Henderson Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/02 | Taylor Gruber UTR Pro Henderson Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 25/02 | Skylar Kasday UTR Pro Henderson Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/02 | Veronika Kliuch UTR Pro Henderson Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Astrid Cirotte
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Virginia Crocker W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 16/06 | Despina Papamichail W75 Blois · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 17/04 | Victoria Mulville W15 Pretoria · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 15/04 | Selina Atay W15 Pretoria · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 07/04 | Alicia Dudeney W75 Calvi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 29/03 | Stephanie Judith Visscher W50 Nantes · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/03 | Anastasiia Firman W15 Le Havre · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/03 | Yelyzaveta Kotliar W15 Gonesse · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 11/03 | Amelie Justine Hejtmanek W15 Gonesse · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/03 | Marie Mattel W15 Hagetmau · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Isabella Kruger vs Astrid Cirotte?
Our model gives 72% to Isabella Kruger, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.