Tennis · W15 Maanshan · 03/07, 04:00
Prediction: Shiyu Ye vs Meiqi Guo
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 56% to Meiqi Guo; the market gives 61% to Meiqi Guo (odds 1.53).
On recent form, Shiyu Ye is 4-6 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Meiqi Guo 7-3 over theirs.
59%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Shiyu Ye 1505 · Meiqi Guo 1547
| Shiyu Ye | Meiqi Guo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Meiqi Guo (rating 1505 vs 1547).
Statistics
| Shiyu Ye | Meiqi Guo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-11.4 | 11.1-8.7 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 58.4% | 68.5% |
| Break % | 41.7% | 49.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
H2H · Shiyu Ye 1 – 1 Meiqi Guo (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shiyu Ye 1–1 Meiqi Guo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/04/24 ITF W50 Shenzhen | 2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 26/10/23 ITF W25 Qian Daohu | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shiyu Ye
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Ha Eum Lee W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Sijia Wei W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 17/06 | Evialina Laskevich W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 10/06 | Anchisa Chanta W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Anchisa Chanta W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 07/06 | Ekaterina Yashina W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 31/05 | Ekaterina Maklakova W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-11 | L |
| 21/05 | Ekaterina Yashina W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Jiaqi Wang W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/05 | JiaYi Wang W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Meiqi Guo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Xiaowei Li W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/07 | Eva Marie Desvignes W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/06 | Evialina Laskevich W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 27/06 | Jiaqi Wang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-6 | W |
| 25/06 | Ma Ruoxi W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/06 | Xiran Lan W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 31/05 | Ke Ren W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 28/05 | Hina Inoue W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Chengyiyi Yuan W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 21/05 | Arina Varaksina W35 Changwon · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shiyu Ye vs Meiqi Guo?
Our model gives 59% to Meiqi Guo, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.