Tennis · W15 Maanshan · 03/07, 04:00

Prediction: JiaYi Wang vs Yuhan Wang

Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 56% to JiaYi Wang; the market gives 63% to JiaYi Wang (odds 1.50).

Recent form leaves JiaYi Wang with 6 wins and 4 losses over 10 games; Yuhan Wang has piled up 6-4 in the same span.

60%1
60% 40%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · JiaYi Wang 1566 · Yuhan Wang 1523
JiaYi WangYuhan Wang
Our model56%44%
Market63%38%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours JiaYi Wang (rating 1566 vs 1523).
  • Head-to-head: JiaYi Wang 2–0 Yuhan Wang (2).
  • Note: Yuhan Wang makes many double faults (4.4/match).

Statistics

JiaYi WangYuhan Wang
Win %60%60%
Win % · Hard 60% (10) 60% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.3-11.3-0.8
Games (G-P)11-8.99-7.3
Aces1.30.9
Double faults1.64.4
1st serve %66.1%65.5%
Break %45.9%53%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.5

H2H · JiaYi Wang 20 Yuhan Wang (2)

Head-to-head (H2H) · JiaYi Wang 20 Yuhan Wang

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DateSetsGamesRes.
02/05/26
W15 Luan
2-010-3W
21/04/26
W50 Baotou
2-012-8W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

JiaYi Wang

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/07 Shiho Shibata
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
01/07 Onyu Choi
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 12-1 W
26/06 Evialina Laskevich
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
0-2 7-13 L
25/06 Wushuang Zheng
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-1 16-8 W
24/06 Liuyan An
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 13-10 W
18/06 Han Shi
W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard
1-2 8-15 L
16/06 Sonja Zhiyenbayeva
W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
09/06 Varvara Panshina
W100 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
05/06 Xinxin Yao
W50 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
04/06 Wushuang Zheng
W50 Wuning · ~Hard
2-1 16-8 W

Yuhan Wang

LLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/07 Jiaqi Wang
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 7-2 W
01/07 Alina Tikhonova
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
24/06 Tiana Tian Deng
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
02/06 Wushuang Zheng
W50 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 5-9 L
21/05 Zongyu Li
W35 Wuning · ~Hard
1-2 8-16 L
20/05 Xiran Lan
W35 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 9-1 W
02/05 JiaYi Wang
W15 Luan · ~Hard
0-2 3-10 L
01/05 Sera Nishimoto
W15 Luan · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
30/04 Ruirui Zou
W15 Luan · ~Hard
2-0 13-10 W
28/04 Duanrui Gao
W15 Luan · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in JiaYi Wang vs Yuhan Wang?

Our model gives 60% to JiaYi Wang, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.