Handball · Spain Liga Asobal · 26/09, 08:04
Prediction: FC Barcelona vs Caserio Ciudad Real
Team pages: FC Barcelona · Caserio Ciudad Real
Prediction summary
Estimated points
66.3Total
FC Barcelona38.5
Caserio Ciudad Real27.9
1X2
FC Barcelona
Caserio Ciudad Real
Recent form · 10 last
FC Barcelona
10-0-0 (W-D-L)
Caserio Ciudad Real
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Barcelona
2–0
Caserio Ciudad Real
(2 last)
- FC Barcelona43-26Caserio Ciudad Real
- Caserio Ciudad Real27-37FC Barcelona
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Barcelona 1723 · Caserio Ciudad Real 1489
| FC Barcelona | Caserio Ciudad Real | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 85% | 15% |
| Market | 97% | 1% |
Estimated total (ours)
66.3 points · Bet365 line 64.5 · +1.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points66.3FC Barcelona 38.5 · Caserio Ciudad Real 27.9
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Barcelona (rating 1723 vs 1489).
- FC Barcelona is a clear favourite (93% market).
- H2H favours FC Barcelona: 2-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| FC Barcelona | Caserio Ciudad Real | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 42.4 / 26.1 | 30.2 / 30.8 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 40.4 / 27 | 29.6 / 31.4 |
| Est. result | 39 | 28 |
Est. total66.3
Line O/U64.5
Diff.1.8
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Barcelona 2–0–0 Caserio Ciudad Real
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 Spain Liga Asobal | FC Barcelona | 43-26 | Caserio Ciudad Real |
| 26/10/25 Spain Liga Asobal | Caserio Ciudad Real | 27-37 | FC Barcelona |
Standings · Spain Liga Asobal
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Barcelona | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 87 | 59 | 4 |
| 2 | Bidasoa Irun | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 68 | 57 | 4 |
| 3 | Atletico Valladolid | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 62 | 52 | 4 |
| 4 | BM Granollers | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 65 | 58 | 4 |
| 5 | Caserio Ciudad Real | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 65 | 59 | 3 |
| 6 | BM Torrelavega | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 62 | 51 | 2 |
| 7 | Ciudad Encantada | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 61 | 60 | 2 |
| 8 | Puerto Sagunto | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 63 | 65 | 2 |
| 9 | CMB Sporting Alicante | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 61 | 64 | 2 |
| 10 | BM Logrono La Rioja | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 65 | 75 | 2 |
| 11 | Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 58 | 69 | 2 |
| 12 | Villa De Aranda | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 56 | 64 | 1 |
| 13 | Ademar Leon | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 70 | 74 | 0 |
| 14 | BM Cangas | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 66 | 71 | 0 |
| 15 | BM Triana | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 57 | 64 | 0 |
| 16 | BM Nava | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 44 | 68 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Barcelona | Caserio Ciudad Real |
|---|---|---|
| BM Logrono La Rioja | 48-32 W | 28-33 L |
| BM Torrelavega | 36-24 W | 28-35 L |
| BM Guadalajara | 38-24 W | 34-27 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Barcelona (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Barcelona
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil Spain Liga Asobal |
39-27 | W |
| 11/09 | BM Logrono La Rioja Spain Liga Asobal |
48-32 | W |
| 31/05 | BM Logrono La Rioja Spain Liga Asobal |
41-28 | W |
| 22/05 | BM Torrelavega Spain Liga Asobal |
36-24 | W |
| 09/05 | BM Guadalajara Spain Liga Asobal |
38-24 | W |
| 25/04 | BM Huesca Spain Liga Asobal |
42-25 | W |
| 17/04 | BM Nava Spain Liga Asobal |
42-24 | W |
| 15/04 | Ciudad Encantada Spain Liga Asobal |
52-23 | W |
| 10/04 | Ademar Leon Spain Liga Asobal |
48-31 | W |
| 04/04 | Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil Spain Liga Asobal |
38-23 | W |
Caserio Ciudad Real
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | CMB Sporting Alicante Spain Liga Asobal |
35-29 | W |
| 13/09 | Villa De Aranda Spain Liga Asobal |
30-30 | D |
| 31/05 | BM Granollers Spain Liga Asobal |
29-38 | L |
| 22/05 | BM Cangas Spain Liga Asobal |
28-28 | D |
| 09/05 | Villa De Aranda Spain Liga Asobal |
26-32 | L |
| 03/05 | Atletico Valladolid Spain Liga Asobal |
33-30 | W |
| 24/04 | CMB Sporting Alicante Spain Liga Asobal |
31-26 | W |
| 18/04 | BM Logrono La Rioja Spain Liga Asobal |
28-33 | L |
| 11/04 | BM Torrelavega Spain Liga Asobal |
28-35 | L |
| 04/04 | BM Guadalajara Spain Liga Asobal |
34-27 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Barcelona vs Caserio Ciudad Real?
Our model gives 93% to FC Barcelona.
How many points are expected in FC Barcelona vs Caserio Ciudad Real?
The model estimates 66.3 total points (FC Barcelona 38.5 · Caserio Ciudad Real 27.9).