Handball · Denmark Handboldligaen · 26/08, 19:00

Prediction: Ribe Esbjerg HH vs Mors-Thy Handbold

Prediction summary

Estimated points

64Total

Ribe Esbjerg HH33.3

Mors-Thy Handbold30.6

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

57% 43%

Ribe Esbjerg HH Mors-Thy Handbold

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Ribe Esbjerg HH 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

LWLWWWWWLW

Mors-Thy Handbold 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WDWWLWLLLL

Head-to-head

Ribe Esbjerg HH 2–2–2 Mors-Thy Handbold (6 last)

Ribe Esbjerg HH32-31Mors-Thy Handbold
Mors-Thy Handbold30-29Ribe Esbjerg HH
Ribe Esbjerg HH37-37Mors-Thy Handbold
Mors-Thy Handbold29-29Ribe Esbjerg HH
Mors-Thy Handbold26-28Ribe Esbjerg HH
Ribe Esbjerg HH28-33Mors-Thy Handbold

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ribe Esbjerg HH 1554 · Mors-Thy Handbold 1462

	Ribe Esbjerg HH	Mors-Thy Handbold
Our model	72%	28%
Market	41%	48%

Estimated total (ours) 64 points · Bet365 line 64.5 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points64Ribe Esbjerg HH 33.3 · Mors-Thy Handbold 30.6

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Ribe Esbjerg HH	Mors-Thy Handbold
Points F\|A (Last 10)	32.4 / 30.8	31.6 / 33.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	33 / 31.8	29.6 / 36.2
Est. result	33	31

Est. total64

Line O/U64.5

Diff.0.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.25

X8.50

21.95

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.80

2 (-0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 64.51.88

Under 64.51.88

Diff.: 0.2 · Est. total: 64.3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 01:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.25▼	Bet365 2.25
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	1.90 → 1.95▲	Bet365 1.95

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 7.5%

Time*	1	X	2
00:06 +42’	2.35	8.50	1.90
01:40 +9’	2.25▼	8.50	1.95▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ribe Esbjerg HH 2–2–2 Mors-Thy Handbold

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/12/25 Denmark Handboldligaen	Ribe Esbjerg HH	32-31	Mors-Thy Handbold
03/09/25 Denmark Handboldligaen	Mors-Thy Handbold	30-29	Ribe Esbjerg HH
06/03/25 Denmark Handboldligaen	Ribe Esbjerg HH	37-37	Mors-Thy Handbold
19/10/24 Denmark Handboldligaen	Mors-Thy Handbold	29-29	Ribe Esbjerg HH
05/05/24 Denmark Handboldligaen	Mors-Thy Handbold	26-28	Ribe Esbjerg HH
14/04/24 Denmark Handboldligaen	Ribe Esbjerg HH	28-33	Mors-Thy Handbold

Standings · Denmark Handboldligaen

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Aalborg Handbold	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Bjerringbro-Silkeborg	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Fredericia HK	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	GOG	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	KIF Kolding Kbh.	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Mors-Thy Handbold	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Nordsjaelland Handbold	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ribe Esbjerg HH	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Skanderborg Handbold	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Skive FH	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Skjern Handbold	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SonderjyskE	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	TMS Ringsted	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Team Tvis Holstebro	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ribe Esbjerg HH	Mors-Thy Handbold
Aalborg Handbold	29-32 L	35-37 L
Team Tvis Holstebro	39-31 W	30-31 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ribe Esbjerg HH

LWLWWWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/04	Nordsjaelland Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	37-26	W
19/04	HOJ Elite Denmark Handboldligaen	25-39	L
15/04	TMS Ringsted Denmark Handboldligaen	35-28	W
12/04	SonderjyskE Denmark Handboldligaen	36-35	W
28/03	HOJ Elite Denmark Handboldligaen	32-31	W
24/03	Fredericia HK Denmark Handboldligaen	31-26	W
14/03	Grindsted GIF Denmark Handboldligaen	32-28	W
07/03	Aalborg Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	29-32	L
26/02	Team Tvis Holstebro Denmark Handboldligaen	39-31	W
19/02	Skjern Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	28-32	L

Mors-Thy Handbold

WDWWLWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
04/06	GOG Denmark Handboldligaen	29-35	L
31/05	GOG Denmark Handboldligaen	31-38	L
23/05	Aalborg Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	35-37	L
20/05	Aalborg Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	21-40	L
10/05	Bjerringbro-Silkeborg Denmark Handboldligaen	32-31	W
01/05	Team Tvis Holstebro Denmark Handboldligaen	30-31	L
23/04	Skanderborg Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	35-29	W
19/04	Bjerringbro-Silkeborg Denmark Handboldligaen	34-30	W
12/04	Skanderborg Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	36-36	D
06/04	Team Tvis Holstebro Denmark Handboldligaen	33-31	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ribe Esbjerg HH vs Mors-Thy Handbold?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Ribe Esbjerg HH 57% · Mors-Thy Handbold 43%).

How many points are expected in Ribe Esbjerg HH vs Mors-Thy Handbold?

The model estimates 64 total points (Ribe Esbjerg HH 33.3 · Mors-Thy Handbold 30.6).