Handball · Romania Liga Nationala Women · 17/09, 16:00

Prediction: CS Baia Mare (W) vs HC Dunarea Braila (W)

Team pages: CS Baia Mare (W) · HC Dunarea Braila (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

58Total

CS Baia Mare (W)27

HC Dunarea Braila (W)31

1X2

40% 60%

CS Baia Mare (W) HC Dunarea Braila (W)

Recent form · 10 last

CS Baia Mare (W) 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WWLLLLLLWW

HC Dunarea Braila (W) 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

LDWWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

CS Baia Mare (W) 1–5 HC Dunarea Braila (W) (6 last)

CS Baia Mare (W)22-32HC Dunarea Braila (W)
HC Dunarea Braila (W)32-28CS Baia Mare (W)
CS Baia Mare (W)32-25HC Dunarea Braila (W)
HC Dunarea Braila (W)33-28CS Baia Mare (W)
HC Dunarea Braila (W)40-29CS Baia Mare (W)
HC Dunarea Braila (W)36-27CS Baia Mare (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CS Baia Mare (W) 1447 · HC Dunarea Braila (W) 1589

	CS Baia Mare (W)	HC Dunarea Braila (W)
Our model	40%	60%
Market	35%	53%

Estimated total (ours) 58 points · Bet365 line 54.5 · +3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points58CS Baia Mare (W) 27 · HC Dunarea Braila (W) 31

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HC Dunarea Braila (W) (rating 1447 vs 1589).
H2H favours HC Dunarea Braila (W): 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	CS Baia Mare (W)	HC Dunarea Braila (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	27.5 / 28.8	32.8 / 26.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	30.4 / 30.8	34 / 24.8
Est. result	27	31

Est. total58

Line O/U54.5

Diff.3.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.55

X8.00

21.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.75

2 (-1.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 54.51.85

Under 54.51.85

Diff.: 3.25 · Est. total: 57.75

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 14:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.55▲	Bet365 2.55
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	2.10 → 1.70▼	Bet365 1.70

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
17:45 +6’	2.00	8.00	2.10
13:47 +4’	2.80▲	8.00	1.60▼
14:30 +23’	2.55▼	8.00	1.70▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · CS Baia Mare (W) 1–0–5 HC Dunarea Braila (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Romania Liga Nationala Women	CS Baia Mare (W)	22-32	HC Dunarea Braila (W)
20/12/25 Romania Liga Nationala Women	HC Dunarea Braila (W)	32-28	CS Baia Mare (W)
18/05/25 Romania Liga Nationala Women	CS Baia Mare (W)	32-25	HC Dunarea Braila (W)
05/01/25 Romania Liga Nationala Women	HC Dunarea Braila (W)	33-28	CS Baia Mare (W)
20/03/24 Romania Liga Nationala Women	HC Dunarea Braila (W)	40-29	CS Baia Mare (W)
07/02/24 Romania Cup Women	HC Dunarea Braila (W)	36-27	CS Baia Mare (W)

Standings · Romania Liga Nationala Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CSM Bucuresti (W)	4	4	0	0	145	97	8
2	HC Dunarea Braila (W)	3	3	0	0	104	74	6
3	Ramnicu Valcea (W)	2	2	0	0	61	49	4
4	Gloria Bistrita (W)	2	2	0	0	66	40	4
5	CS Rapid Bucuresti (W)	3	2	0	1	89	71	4
6	SCM Craiova (W)	3	1	2	0	85	82	4
7	CS Baia Mare (W)	3	2	0	1	100	90	4
8	CSM Slatina (W)	3	1	1	1	91	83	3
9	CSM Targu Jiu (W)	3	1	0	2	76	86	2
10	HC Zalau (W)	3	1	0	2	77	88	2
11	Corona Brasov (W)	3	0	1	2	73	84	1
12	CSM Iasi (W)	3	0	0	3	60	95	0
13	CSU Stiinta Bucuresti (W)	3	0	0	3	69	112	0
14	CSM Targu Mures (W)	4	0	0	4	115	160	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CS Baia Mare (W)	HC Dunarea Braila (W)
HC Zalau (W)	32-29 W	33-30 W
CSM Targu Mures (W)	42-33 W	42-31 W
CSM Slatina (W)	20-27 L	34-28 W
CSM Targu Jiu (W)	25-23 W	31-21 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	4 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: HC Dunarea Braila (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CS Baia Mare (W)

WWLLLLLLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
14/09	HC Zalau (W) Romania Liga Nationala Women	32-29	W
06/09	CSM Targu Mures (W) Romania Liga Nationala Women	42-33	W
31/08	Ramnicu Valcea (W) Romania Liga Nationala Women	26-28	L
22/05	CS Rapid Bucuresti (W) Romania Liga Nationala Women	30-32	L
16/05	HC Dunarea Braila (W) Romania Liga Nationala Women	22-32	L
25/04	SCM Craiova (W) Romania Liga Nationala Women	26-28	L
18/04	CSM Slatina (W) Romania Liga Nationala Women	20-27	L
04/04	Ramnicu Valcea (W) Romania Liga Nationala Women	25-33	L
21/03	CSM Targu Jiu (W) Romania Liga Nationala Women	25-23	W
14/03	HC Zalau (W) Romania Liga Nationala Women	27-23	W

HC Dunarea Braila (W)

LDWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
12/09	CSM Targu Mures (W) Romania Liga Nationala Women	42-31	W
06/09	CSM Targu Jiu (W) Romania Liga Nationala Women	31-21	W
30/08	CSU Stiinta Bucuresti (W) Romania Liga Nationala Women	31-22	W
23/05	CSM Slatina (W) Romania Liga Nationala Women	34-28	W
16/05	CS Baia Mare (W) Romania Liga Nationala Women	32-22	W
18/04	CSM Targu Jiu (W) Romania Liga Nationala Women	29-26	W
04/04	HC Zalau (W) Romania Liga Nationala Women	33-30	W
21/03	CSM Galati (W) Romania Liga Nationala Women	41-25	W
14/03	Corona Brasov (W) Romania Liga Nationala Women	29-29	D
26/02	Gloria Bistrita (W) Romania Liga Nationala Women	26-30	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CS Baia Mare (W) vs HC Dunarea Braila (W)?

Our model gives 60% to HC Dunarea Braila (W).

How many points are expected in CS Baia Mare (W) vs HC Dunarea Braila (W)?

The model estimates 58 total points (CS Baia Mare (W) 27 · HC Dunarea Braila (W) 31).