Handball · Romania Liga Nationala Women · 14/09, 17:00

Prediction: HC Zalau (W) vs CS Baia Mare (W)

Team pages: HC Zalau (W) · CS Baia Mare (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

56Total

HC Zalau (W)29

CS Baia Mare (W)27.1

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

54% 46%

HC Zalau (W) CS Baia Mare (W)

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

HC Zalau (W) 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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CS Baia Mare (W) 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

HC Zalau (W) 0–1–5 CS Baia Mare (W) (6 last)

HC Zalau (W)23-27CS Baia Mare (W)
CS Baia Mare (W)30-24HC Zalau (W)
HC Zalau (W)25-25CS Baia Mare (W)
CS Baia Mare (W)25-22HC Zalau (W)
CS Baia Mare (W)26-17HC Zalau (W)
CS Baia Mare (W)30-25HC Zalau (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HC Zalau (W) 1526 · CS Baia Mare (W) 1454

	HC Zalau (W)	CS Baia Mare (W)
Our model	69%	31%
Market	40%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 56 points · Bet365 line 53.5 · +2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points56HC Zalau (W) 29 · CS Baia Mare (W) 27.1

Match keys

H2H favours CS Baia Mare (W): 5-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	HC Zalau (W)	CS Baia Mare (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	28.1 / 28	27.7 / 28.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	28.8 / 26.2	29.2 / 30.6
Est. result	29	27

Est. total56

Line O/U53.5

Diff.2.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.30

X8.00

21.85

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.85

2 (-0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 53.51.85

Under 53.51.85

Diff.: 2.5 · Est. total: 56

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 20:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.50 → 2.60▼	Bet365 2.60
X	8.50 → 8.00▼	Bet365 8.00
2	1.42 → 1.72▲	Bet365 1.72

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
13:42 +13’	3.50	8.50	1.42
17:47 +7’	2.30▼	8.00▼	1.85▲
20:30 +19’	2.60▲	8.00	1.72▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 1 odds move recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · HC Zalau (W) 0–1–5 CS Baia Mare (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 Romania Liga Nationala Women	HC Zalau (W)	23-27	CS Baia Mare (W)
08/10/25 Romania Liga Nationala Women	CS Baia Mare (W)	30-24	HC Zalau (W)
05/05/25 Romania Liga Nationala Women	HC Zalau (W)	25-25	CS Baia Mare (W)
21/12/24 Romania Liga Nationala Women	CS Baia Mare (W)	25-22	HC Zalau (W)
11/08/24 Club Friendlies Women	CS Baia Mare (W)	26-17	HC Zalau (W)
18/05/24 Romania Liga Nationala Women	CS Baia Mare (W)	30-25	HC Zalau (W)

Standings · Romania Liga Nationala Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CSM Bucuresti (W)	3	3	0	0	103	71	6
2	HC Dunarea Braila (W)	3	3	0	0	104	74	6
3	Gloria Bistrita (W)	2	2	0	0	66	40	4
4	CS Rapid Bucuresti (W)	3	2	0	1	89	71	4
5	Ramnicu Valcea (W)	2	2	0	0	61	49	4
6	SCM Craiova (W)	3	1	2	0	85	82	4
7	CSM Slatina (W)	3	1	1	1	91	83	3
8	CS Baia Mare (W)	2	1	0	1	68	61	2
9	HC Zalau (W)	2	1	0	1	48	56	2
10	CSM Targu Jiu (W)	3	1	0	2	76	86	2
11	Corona Brasov (W)	3	0	1	2	73	84	1
12	CSM Targu Mures (W)	3	0	0	3	89	118	0
13	CSM Iasi (W)	3	0	0	3	60	95	0
14	CSU Stiinta Bucuresti (W)	3	0	0	3	69	112	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HC Zalau (W)	CS Baia Mare (W)
Ramnicu Valcea (W)	23-33 L	26-28 L
CSM Galati (W)	31-27 W	34-23 W
SCM Craiova (W)	27-24 W	26-28 L
CS Rapid Bucuresti (W)	29-29 D	30-32 L
HC Dunarea Braila (W)	30-33 L	22-32 L
CSM Slatina (W)	29-30 L	20-27 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	1 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: HC Zalau (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HC Zalau (W)

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
05/09	Ramnicu Valcea (W) Romania Liga Nationala Women	23-33	L
28/08	Corona Brasov (W) Romania Liga Nationala Women	25-23	W
31/05	CSM Galati (W) Romania Liga Nationala Women	31-27	W
30/05	CSM Roman (W) Romania Liga Nationala Women	38-24	W
22/05	SCM Craiova (W) Romania Liga Nationala Women	27-24	W
16/05	CSM Bucuresti (W) Romania Liga Nationala Women	26-30	L
18/04	CS Rapid Bucuresti (W) Romania Liga Nationala Women	29-29	D
04/04	HC Dunarea Braila (W) Romania Liga Nationala Women	30-33	L
21/03	CSM Slatina (W) Romania Liga Nationala Women	29-30	L
14/03	CS Baia Mare (W) Romania Liga Nationala Women	23-27	L

CS Baia Mare (W)

WWWLLLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
06/09	CSM Targu Mures (W) Romania Liga Nationala Women	42-33	W
31/08	Ramnicu Valcea (W) Romania Liga Nationala Women	26-28	L
22/05	CS Rapid Bucuresti (W) Romania Liga Nationala Women	30-32	L
16/05	HC Dunarea Braila (W) Romania Liga Nationala Women	22-32	L
25/04	SCM Craiova (W) Romania Liga Nationala Women	26-28	L
18/04	CSM Slatina (W) Romania Liga Nationala Women	20-27	L
04/04	Ramnicu Valcea (W) Romania Liga Nationala Women	25-33	L
21/03	CSM Targu Jiu (W) Romania Liga Nationala Women	25-23	W
14/03	HC Zalau (W) Romania Liga Nationala Women	27-23	W
25/02	CSM Galati (W) Romania Liga Nationala Women	34-23	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HC Zalau (W) vs CS Baia Mare (W)?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (HC Zalau (W) 54% · CS Baia Mare (W) 46%).

How many points are expected in HC Zalau (W) vs CS Baia Mare (W)?

The model estimates 56 total points (HC Zalau (W) 29 · CS Baia Mare (W) 27.1).