Handball · Germany Bundesliga Women · 30/08, 16:00

Prediction: BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W) vs VFL Oldenburg (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

61.3Total

BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)29.3

VFL Oldenburg (W)32

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

51% 49%

BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W) VFL Oldenburg (W)

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Markets

Over 57.5 points 80%

Recent form · 10 last

BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W) 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LWLLLLWLLL

VFL Oldenburg (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DLLLWDWWLW

Head-to-head

BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W) 0–6 VFL Oldenburg (W) (6 last)

BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)30-37VFL Oldenburg (W)
VFL Oldenburg (W)28-23BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)
BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)26-31VFL Oldenburg (W)
VFL Oldenburg (W)24-23BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)
VFL Oldenburg (W)30-26BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)
BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)24-30VFL Oldenburg (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W) 1430 · VFL Oldenburg (W) 1491

	BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)	VFL Oldenburg (W)
Our model	51%	49%
Market	45%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 61.3 points · Bet365 line 57.5 · +3.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points61.3BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W) 29.3 · VFL Oldenburg (W) 32

Match keys

H2H favours VFL Oldenburg (W): 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)	VFL Oldenburg (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	27.2 / 31.4	32.5 / 31.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	29 / 33.8	35.4 / 30.4
Est. result	29	32

Est. total61.3

Line O/U57.5

Diff.3.8

Over / Under80% / 20%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.00

X8.00

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.72

Line ⓘ

Over 57.51.85

Under 57.51.85

Diff.: 3.9 · Est. total: 61.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.1%

Time*	1	X	2
04:36 +13’	2.00	8.00	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W) 0–0–6 VFL Oldenburg (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
20/05/26 Germany Bundesliga Women	BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)	30-37	VFL Oldenburg (W)
30/08/25 Germany Bundesliga Women	VFL Oldenburg (W)	28-23	BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)
19/03/25 Germany Bundesliga Women	BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)	26-31	VFL Oldenburg (W)
27/12/24 Germany Bundesliga Women	VFL Oldenburg (W)	24-23	BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)
18/05/24 Germany Bundesliga Women	VFL Oldenburg (W)	30-26	BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)
21/01/24 Germany Bundesliga Women	BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)	24-30	VFL Oldenburg (W)

Standings · Germany Bundesliga Women

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Buxtehuder SV (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Frisch Auf Goppingen (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	HC Leipzig (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	HSG Bensheim/Auerbach (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Neckarsulmer SU (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Thuringer HC (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	TuS Metzingen (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	VFL Oldenburg (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)	VFL Oldenburg (W)
Buxtehuder SV (W)	30-32 L	28-28 D
SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)	21-37 L	35-33 W
Neckarsulmer SU (W)	37-31 W	36-26 W
TuS Metzingen (W)	27-32 L	34-36 L
Frisch Auf Goppingen (W)	19-28 L	42-32 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 4 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: VFL Oldenburg (W) (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)

LWLLLLWLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/05	Buxtehuder SV (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	30-32	L
23/05	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	21-37	L
20/05	VFL Oldenburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	30-37	L
09/05	Neckarsulmer SU (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	37-31	W
02/05	TuS Metzingen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	27-32	L
19/04	Frisch Auf Goppingen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	19-28	L
04/04	Frisch Auf Goppingen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	27-29	L
01/04	Thuringer HC (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	23-32	L
29/03	Neckarsulmer SU (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	28-25	W
28/02	Buxtehuder SV (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	30-31	L

VFL Oldenburg (W)

DLLLWDWWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
30/05	Neckarsulmer SU (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	36-26	W
23/05	TuS Metzingen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	34-36	L
20/05	BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	37-30	W
09/05	Frisch Auf Goppingen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	42-32	W
02/05	Buxtehuder SV (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	28-28	D
26/04	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	35-33	W
04/04	TuS Metzingen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	30-37	L
01/04	Borussia Dortmund (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	33-36	L
21/03	HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	21-30	L
01/03	Frisch Auf Goppingen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	29-29	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W) vs VFL Oldenburg (W)?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W) 51% · VFL Oldenburg (W) 49%).

How many points are expected in BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W) vs VFL Oldenburg (W)?

The model estimates 61.3 total points (BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W) 29.3 · VFL Oldenburg (W) 32).