Handball · Germany Bundesliga Women · 30/08, 16:00

Prediction: SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) vs TuS Metzingen (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

60.9Total

SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)29.5

TuS Metzingen (W)31.4

1X2

34% 66%

SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) TuS Metzingen (W)

Markets

Under 64.5 points 75%

Recent form · 10 last

SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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TuS Metzingen (W) 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) 0–6 TuS Metzingen (W) (6 last)

TuS Metzingen (W)36-28SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)
TuS Metzingen (W)36-32SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)
SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)33-38TuS Metzingen (W)
TuS Metzingen (W)34-27SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)
SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)23-30TuS Metzingen (W)
TuS Metzingen (W)31-26SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) 1485 · TuS Metzingen (W) 1576

	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)	TuS Metzingen (W)
Our model	47%	53%
Market	22%	68%

Estimated total (ours) 60.9 points · Bet365 line 64.5 · -3.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points60.9SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) 29.5 · TuS Metzingen (W) 31.4

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours TuS Metzingen (W) (rating 1485 vs 1576).
TuS Metzingen (W) is a clear favourite (66% market).
H2H favours TuS Metzingen (W): 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)	TuS Metzingen (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	28.9 / 29.6	31.2 / 30
Points F\|A (Last 5)	30.4 / 27.4	32.2 / 29
Est. result	30	31

Est. total60.9

Line O/U64.5

Diff.3.6

Over / Under25% / 75%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

14.00

X9.50

21.32

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+3.5)1.85

2 (-3.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 64.51.85

Under 64.51.85

Diff.: 4.65 · Est. total: 59.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
X	9.50 → 9.50	Bet365 9.50
2	1.32 → 1.32	Bet365 1.32

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
04:14 +35’	4.00	9.50	1.32

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) 0–0–6 TuS Metzingen (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 Germany Bundesliga Women	TuS Metzingen (W)	36-28	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)
15/02/26 Germany Bundesliga Women	TuS Metzingen (W)	36-32	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)
25/10/25 Germany Bundesliga Women	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)	33-38	TuS Metzingen (W)
05/10/24 Germany Cup Women	TuS Metzingen (W)	34-27	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)
24/02/24 Germany Bundesliga Women	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)	23-30	TuS Metzingen (W)
07/10/23 Germany Bundesliga Women	TuS Metzingen (W)	31-26	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)

Standings · Germany Bundesliga Women

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Buxtehuder SV (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Frisch Auf Goppingen (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	HC Leipzig (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	HSG Bensheim/Auerbach (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Neckarsulmer SU (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Thuringer HC (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	TuS Metzingen (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	VFL Oldenburg (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)	TuS Metzingen (W)
BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)	37-21 W	32-27 W
Frisch Auf Goppingen (W)	25-28 L	29-33 L
Buxtehuder SV (W)	24-28 L	29-28 W
VFL Oldenburg (W)	33-35 L	36-34 W
Neckarsulmer SU (W)	30-34 L	28-23 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 4 L	4 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: TuS Metzingen (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
06/06	Fuchse Berlin (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	33-26	W
03/06	Fuchse Berlin (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	29-26	W
30/05	TuS Metzingen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	28-36	L
23/05	BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	37-21	W
17/05	Frisch Auf Goppingen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	25-28	L
10/05	Buxtehuder SV (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	24-28	L
26/04	VFL Oldenburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	33-35	L
18/04	Neckarsulmer SU (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	30-34	L
04/04	Buxtehuder SV (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	30-29	W
28/03	HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	20-33	L

TuS Metzingen (W)

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
30/05	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	36-28	W
23/05	VFL Oldenburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	36-34	W
16/05	Neckarsulmer SU (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	28-23	W
02/05	BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	32-27	W
25/04	Frisch Auf Goppingen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	29-33	L
18/04	Buxtehuder SV (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	29-28	W
04/04	VFL Oldenburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	37-30	W
28/03	Frisch Auf Goppingen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	34-31	W
21/03	Neckarsulmer SU (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	28-38	L
28/02	Thuringer HC (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	23-28	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) vs TuS Metzingen (W)?

Our model gives 66% to TuS Metzingen (W).

How many points are expected in SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) vs TuS Metzingen (W)?

The model estimates 60.9 total points (SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) 29.5 · TuS Metzingen (W) 31.4).