Handball · Germany Bundesliga Women · 30/08, 15:00

Prediction: Thuringer HC (W) vs Buxtehuder SV (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

59.1Total

Thuringer HC (W)29.8

Buxtehuder SV (W)29.2

1X2

78% 22%

Thuringer HC (W) Buxtehuder SV (W)

Recent form · 10 last

Thuringer HC (W) 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WLLWWWLWLW

Buxtehuder SV (W) 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWLLLWDWWW

Head-to-head

Thuringer HC (W) 5–1–0 Buxtehuder SV (W) (6 last)

Thuringer HC (W)27-23Buxtehuder SV (W)
Thuringer HC (W)34-27Buxtehuder SV (W)
Buxtehuder SV (W)29-29Thuringer HC (W)
Thuringer HC (W)31-26Buxtehuder SV (W)
Buxtehuder SV (W)26-29Thuringer HC (W)
Buxtehuder SV (W)28-32Thuringer HC (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Thuringer HC (W) 1526 · Buxtehuder SV (W) 1542

	Thuringer HC (W)	Buxtehuder SV (W)
Our model	58%	42%
Market	86%	8%

Estimated total (ours) 59.1 points · Bet365 line 61.5 · -2.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points59.1Thuringer HC (W) 29.8 · Buxtehuder SV (W) 29.2

Match keys

Thuringer HC (W) is a clear favourite (78% market).
H2H favours Thuringer HC (W): 5-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Thuringer HC (W)	Buxtehuder SV (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	29.3 / 30.1	30.4 / 29.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	28.4 / 30.8	30.4 / 27.2
Est. result	30	29

Est. total59.1

Line O/U61.5

Diff.2.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.04

X16.00

211.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-8.5)1.85

2 (+8.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 61.51.85

Under 61.51.85

Diff.: 2 · Est. total: 59.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.04 → 1.04	Bet365 1.04
X	16.00 → 16.00	Bet365 16.00
2	11.00 → 11.00	Bet365 11.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
04:45 +4’	1.04	16.00	11.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Thuringer HC (W) 5–1–0 Buxtehuder SV (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/01/26 Germany Bundesliga Women	Thuringer HC (W)	27-23	Buxtehuder SV (W)
28/09/25 Germany Cup Women	Thuringer HC (W)	34-27	Buxtehuder SV (W)
06/09/25 Germany Bundesliga Women	Buxtehuder SV (W)	29-29	Thuringer HC (W)
19/02/25 Germany Bundesliga Women	Thuringer HC (W)	31-26	Buxtehuder SV (W)
30/10/24 Germany Bundesliga Women	Buxtehuder SV (W)	26-29	Thuringer HC (W)
21/04/24 Germany Bundesliga Women	Buxtehuder SV (W)	28-32	Thuringer HC (W)

Standings · Germany Bundesliga Women

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Buxtehuder SV (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Frisch Auf Goppingen (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	HC Leipzig (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	HSG Bensheim/Auerbach (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Neckarsulmer SU (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Thuringer HC (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	TuS Metzingen (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	VFL Oldenburg (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Thuringer HC (W)	Buxtehuder SV (W)
HSG Bensheim/Auerbach (W)	28-27 W	32-36 L
BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)	32-23 W	32-30 W
TuS Metzingen (W)	28-23 W	28-29 L
VFL Oldenburg (W)	30-35 L	28-28 D
Frisch Auf Goppingen (W)	39-33 W	32-30 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Thuringer HC (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Thuringer HC (W)

WLLWWWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
23/05	HSG Bensheim/Auerbach (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	28-27	W
09/05	HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	24-35	L
03/05	HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	29-28	W
25/04	HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	25-31	L
04/04	HSG Bensheim/Auerbach (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	36-33	W
01/04	BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	32-23	W
28/02	TuS Metzingen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	28-23	W
18/02	Borussia Dortmund (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	22-33	L
11/02	VFL Oldenburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	30-35	L
04/02	Frisch Auf Goppingen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	39-33	W

Buxtehuder SV (W)

WWLLLWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/05	BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	32-30	W
23/05	Frisch Auf Goppingen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	32-30	W
10/05	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	28-24	W
02/05	VFL Oldenburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	28-28	D
25/04	Neckarsulmer SU (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	32-24	W
18/04	TuS Metzingen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	28-29	L
04/04	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	29-30	L
28/03	HSG Bensheim/Auerbach (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	32-36	L
28/02	BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	31-30	W
21/02	TuS Metzingen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	32-31	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Thuringer HC (W) vs Buxtehuder SV (W)?

Our model gives 78% to Thuringer HC (W).

How many points are expected in Thuringer HC (W) vs Buxtehuder SV (W)?

The model estimates 59.1 total points (Thuringer HC (W) 29.8 · Buxtehuder SV (W) 29.2).