Handball · Czechia Extraliga · 05/09, 20:00

Prediction: HK Lovosice vs HBC Jicin

Prediction summary

Estimated points

61.4Total

HK Lovosice33.2

HBC Jicin28.2

1X2

83% 17%

HK Lovosice HBC Jicin

Recent form · 10 last

HK Lovosice 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WLDWWLWWLW

HBC Jicin 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLLWWLLW

Head-to-head

HK Lovosice 5–1–0 HBC Jicin (6 last)

HBC Jicin27-36HK Lovosice
HK Lovosice36-28HBC Jicin
HBC Jicin33-33HK Lovosice
HK Lovosice26-21HBC Jicin
HBC Jicin31-39HK Lovosice
HK Lovosice35-33HBC Jicin

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HK Lovosice 1545 · HBC Jicin 1450

	HK Lovosice	HBC Jicin
Our model	72%	28%
Market	85%	9%

Estimated total (ours) 61.4 points · Bet365 line 61.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points61.4HK Lovosice 33.2 · HBC Jicin 28.2

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HK Lovosice (rating 1545 vs 1450).
HK Lovosice is a clear favourite (83% market).
H2H favours HK Lovosice: 5-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	HK Lovosice	HBC Jicin
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31.7 / 28.7	30.7 / 30.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	31.4 / 28.4	33.8 / 28.4
Est. result	33	28

Est. total61.4

Line O/U61.5

Diff.0.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.06

X15.00

210.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-7.5)1.85

2 (+7.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 61.51.85

Under 61.51.85

Diff.: 0.5 · Est. total: 61

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.06 → 1.06	Bet365 1.06
X	15.00 → 15.00	Bet365 15.00
2	10.00 → 10.00	Bet365 10.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
04:36 +18’	1.06	15.00	10.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · HK Lovosice 5–1–0 HBC Jicin

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/12/25 Czechia Extraliga	HBC Jicin	27-36	HK Lovosice
04/10/25 Czechia Extraliga	HK Lovosice	36-28	HBC Jicin
15/02/25 Czechia Extraliga	HBC Jicin	33-33	HK Lovosice
23/10/24 Czechia Extraliga	HK Lovosice	26-21	HBC Jicin
17/02/24 Czechia Extraliga	HBC Jicin	31-39	HK Lovosice
08/11/23 Czechia Cup	HK Lovosice	35-33	HBC Jicin

Standings · Czechia Extraliga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	KP Brno 1920	1	1	0	35	26	2
2	HBC Jicin	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	HBC Strakonice 1921	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Dukla Praha	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	HC Zubri	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Banik Karvina	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	HK Lovosice	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	KH Koprivnice	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	HC Frydek-Mistek	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Talent Plzen	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Nove Veseli	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	HC Zlin	1	0	1	26	35	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HK Lovosice	HBC Jicin
KP Brno 1920	38-23 W	28-29 L
HC Zubri	25-30 L	22-40 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: HK Lovosice (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HK Lovosice

WLDWWLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/05	KP Brno 1920 Czechia Extraliga	38-23	W
24/04	KP Brno 1920 Czechia Extraliga	31-36	L
18/04	HC Frydek-Mistek Czechia Extraliga	27-22	W
12/04	HC Frydek-Mistek Czechia Extraliga	36-31	W
08/04	HC Zubri Czechia Extraliga	25-30	L
05/04	HC Zubri Czechia Extraliga	36-33	W
04/04	HC Zubri Czechia Extraliga	28-24	W
29/03	HC Zubri Czechia Extraliga	30-30	D
28/03	HC Zubri Czechia Extraliga	28-36	L
14/03	KP Brno 1920 Czechia Extraliga	38-22	W

HBC Jicin

LLLLLWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
02/05	HC Zlin Czechia Extraliga	38-28	W
25/04	KH Koprivnice Czechia Extraliga	30-31	L
18/04	HBC Strakonice 1921 Czechia Extraliga	29-30	L
11/04	HC Zlin Czechia Extraliga	37-28	W
02/04	KH Koprivnice Czechia Extraliga	35-25	W
28/03	HBC Strakonice 1921 Czechia Extraliga	31-35	L
14/03	Dukla Praha Czechia Extraliga	28-31	L
07/03	HC Zubri Czechia Extraliga	22-40	L
25/02	KP Brno 1920 Czechia Extraliga	28-29	L
11/02	Banik Karvina Czechia Extraliga	29-32	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HK Lovosice vs HBC Jicin?

Our model gives 83% to HK Lovosice.

How many points are expected in HK Lovosice vs HBC Jicin?

The model estimates 61.4 total points (HK Lovosice 33.2 · HBC Jicin 28.2).