Handball · Czechia Extraliga · 05/09, 17:00

Prediction: HBC Strakonice 1921 vs Talent Plzen

Prediction summary

Estimated points

60.2Total

HBC Strakonice 192129.2

Talent Plzen31

1X2

23% 77%

HBC Strakonice 1921 Talent Plzen

Recent form · 10 last

HBC Strakonice 1921 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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Talent Plzen 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WLWDWLLWWW

Head-to-head

HBC Strakonice 1921 0–6 Talent Plzen (6 last)

HBC Strakonice 192127-34Talent Plzen
Talent Plzen35-22HBC Strakonice 1921
HBC Strakonice 192117-37Talent Plzen
Talent Plzen35-29HBC Strakonice 1921
Talent Plzen35-27HBC Strakonice 1921
HBC Strakonice 192123-42Talent Plzen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HBC Strakonice 1921 1480 · Talent Plzen 1586

	HBC Strakonice 1921	Talent Plzen
Our model	45%	55%
Market	8%	86%

Estimated total (ours) 60.2 points · Bet365 line 57.5 · +2.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points60.2HBC Strakonice 1921 29.2 · Talent Plzen 31

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Talent Plzen (rating 1480 vs 1586).
Talent Plzen is a clear favourite (77% market).
H2H favours Talent Plzen: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	HBC Strakonice 1921	Talent Plzen
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31.1 / 32.9	28.5 / 27.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	32.6 / 32	29.2 / 27.8
Est. result	29	31

Est. total60.2

Line O/U57.5

Diff.2.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

111.00

X15.00

21.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+7.5)1.85

2 (-7.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 57.51.85

Under 57.51.85

Diff.: 2.45 · Est. total: 59.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	11.00 → 11.00	Bet365 11.00
X	15.00 → 15.00	Bet365 15.00
2	1.05 → 1.05	Bet365 1.05

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
04:03 +46’	11.00	15.00	1.05

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · HBC Strakonice 1921 0–0–6 Talent Plzen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/11/25 Czechia Extraliga	HBC Strakonice 1921	27-34	Talent Plzen
07/09/25 Czechia Extraliga	Talent Plzen	35-22	HBC Strakonice 1921
14/12/24 Czechia Extraliga	HBC Strakonice 1921	17-37	Talent Plzen
29/09/24 Czechia Extraliga	Talent Plzen	35-29	HBC Strakonice 1921
17/12/23 Czechia Extraliga	Talent Plzen	35-27	HBC Strakonice 1921
28/09/23 Czechia Extraliga	HBC Strakonice 1921	23-42	Talent Plzen

Standings · Czechia Extraliga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	KP Brno 1920	1	1	0	35	26	2
2	HBC Jicin	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	HBC Strakonice 1921	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Dukla Praha	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	HC Zubri	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Banik Karvina	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	HK Lovosice	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	KH Koprivnice	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	HC Frydek-Mistek	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Talent Plzen	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Nove Veseli	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	HC Zlin	1	0	1	26	35	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HBC Strakonice 1921

LLWLLWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
30/05	HAOLK Olomouc Czechia Extraliga	33-29	W
23/05	HAOLK Olomouc Czechia Extraliga	34-28	W
02/05	KH Koprivnice Czechia Extraliga	33-32	W
26/04	HC Zlin Czechia Extraliga	33-42	L
18/04	HBC Jicin Czechia Extraliga	30-29	W
10/04	KH Koprivnice Czechia Extraliga	29-37	L
02/04	HC Zlin Czechia Extraliga	26-30	L
28/03	HBC Jicin Czechia Extraliga	35-31	W
14/03	Nove Veseli Czechia Extraliga	33-34	L
07/03	HC Frydek-Mistek Czechia Extraliga	25-37	L

Talent Plzen

WLWDWLLWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
09/05	Banik Karvina Czechia Extraliga	29-28	W
03/05	Banik Karvina Czechia Extraliga	31-24	W
02/05	Banik Karvina Czechia Extraliga	29-25	W
26/04	Banik Karvina Czechia Extraliga	23-27	L
25/04	Banik Karvina Czechia Extraliga	34-35	L
18/04	Dukla Praha Czechia Extraliga	27-24	W
17/04	Dukla Praha Czechia Extraliga	29-29	D
12/04	Dukla Praha Czechia Extraliga	31-26	W
10/04	Dukla Praha Czechia Extraliga	26-32	L
03/04	Nove Veseli Czechia Extraliga	26-24	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HBC Strakonice 1921 vs Talent Plzen?

Our model gives 77% to Talent Plzen.

How many points are expected in HBC Strakonice 1921 vs Talent Plzen?

The model estimates 60.2 total points (HBC Strakonice 1921 29.2 · Talent Plzen 31).