Handball · Denmark Handboldligaen · 30/08, 15:00

Prediction: Fredericia HK vs Ribe Esbjerg HH

Team pages: Fredericia HK · Ribe Esbjerg HH

Prediction summary

Estimated points

63.4Total

Fredericia HK31.4

Ribe Esbjerg HH32

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

61% 39%

Fredericia HK Ribe Esbjerg HH

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Fredericia HK 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WLWWWLLLLW

Ribe Esbjerg HH 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WLWWWWWLWW

Head-to-head

Fredericia HK 2–4 Ribe Esbjerg HH (6 last)

Ribe Esbjerg HH31-26Fredericia HK
Fredericia HK32-34Ribe Esbjerg HH
Fredericia HK30-32Ribe Esbjerg HH
Fredericia HK22-29Ribe Esbjerg HH
Ribe Esbjerg HH26-31Fredericia HK
Fredericia HK31-29Ribe Esbjerg HH

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fredericia HK 1509 · Ribe Esbjerg HH 1574

	Fredericia HK	Ribe Esbjerg HH
Our model	51%	49%
Market	61%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 63.4 points · Bet365 line 61.5 · +1.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points63.4Fredericia HK 31.4 · Ribe Esbjerg HH 32

Match keys

H2H favours Ribe Esbjerg HH: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Fredericia HK	Ribe Esbjerg HH
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31 / 31	33 / 30.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	29.4 / 32	33.4 / 32
Est. result	31	32

Est. total63.4

Line O/U61.5

Diff.1.9

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.55

X9.00

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)2.00

2 (+2.5)1.78

Line ⓘ

Over 61.51.88

Under 61.51.88

Diff.: 1.4 · Est. total: 62.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.55 → 1.55	Bet365 1.55
X	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00
2	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 5.9%

Time*	1	X	2
08:41 +5’	1.55	9.00	3.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Fredericia HK 2–0–4 Ribe Esbjerg HH

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
24/03/26 Denmark Handboldligaen	Ribe Esbjerg HH	31-26	Fredericia HK
15/11/25 Denmark Handboldligaen	Fredericia HK	32-34	Ribe Esbjerg HH
21/08/25 Club Friendlies	Fredericia HK	30-32	Ribe Esbjerg HH
02/03/25 Denmark Handboldligaen	Fredericia HK	22-29	Ribe Esbjerg HH
14/10/24 Denmark Handboldligaen	Ribe Esbjerg HH	26-31	Fredericia HK
17/08/24 Club Friendlies	Fredericia HK	31-29	Ribe Esbjerg HH

Standings · Denmark Handboldligaen

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Fredericia HK	1	1	0	31	24	2
2	Skanderborg Handbold	1	1	0	40	34	2
3	GOG	1	1	0	35	29	2
4	Team Tvis Holstebro	1	1	0	37	33	2
5	Aalborg Handbold	1	1	0	32	28	2
6	Ribe Esbjerg HH	1	1	0	34	32	2
7	KIF Kolding Kbh.	1	1	0	35	34	2
8	Skive FH	1	0	1	34	35	0
9	Mors-Thy Handbold	1	0	1	32	34	0
10	Bjerringbro-Silkeborg	1	0	1	33	37	0
11	SonderjyskE	1	0	1	28	32	0
12	TMS Ringsted	1	0	1	34	40	0
13	Skjern Handbold	1	0	1	29	35	0
14	Nordsjaelland Handbold	1	0	1	24	31	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Fredericia HK	Ribe Esbjerg HH
Nordsjaelland Handbold	31-24 W	37-26 W
Aalborg Handbold	26-36 L	29-32 L
Mors-Thy Handbold	33-31 W	34-32 W
HOJ Elite	35-29 W	25-39 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Ribe Esbjerg HH (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fredericia HK

WLWWWLLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
26/08	Nordsjaelland Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	31-24	W
10/05	Skjern Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	31-37	L
02/05	Aalborg Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	26-36	L
25/04	GOG Denmark Handboldligaen	27-29	L
18/04	Skjern Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	32-34	L
11/04	GOG Denmark Handboldligaen	28-23	W
04/04	Aalborg Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	41-36	W
28/03	Mors-Thy Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	33-31	W
24/03	Ribe Esbjerg HH Denmark Handboldligaen	26-31	L
14/03	HOJ Elite Denmark Handboldligaen	35-29	W

Ribe Esbjerg HH

WLWWWWWLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
26/08	Mors-Thy Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	34-32	W
25/04	Nordsjaelland Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	37-26	W
19/04	HOJ Elite Denmark Handboldligaen	25-39	L
15/04	TMS Ringsted Denmark Handboldligaen	35-28	W
12/04	SonderjyskE Denmark Handboldligaen	36-35	W
28/03	HOJ Elite Denmark Handboldligaen	32-31	W
24/03	Fredericia HK Denmark Handboldligaen	31-26	W
14/03	Grindsted GIF Denmark Handboldligaen	32-28	W
07/03	Aalborg Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	29-32	L
26/02	Team Tvis Holstebro Denmark Handboldligaen	39-31	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fredericia HK vs Ribe Esbjerg HH?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Fredericia HK 61% · Ribe Esbjerg HH 39%).

How many points are expected in Fredericia HK vs Ribe Esbjerg HH?

The model estimates 63.4 total points (Fredericia HK 31.4 · Ribe Esbjerg HH 32).