Handball · Denmark Handboldligaen Women · 02/09, 20:00

Prediction: Nykobing FH (W) vs Team Esbjerg (W)

Team pages: Nykobing FH (W) · Team Esbjerg (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

59.1Total

Nykobing FH (W)27.9

Team Esbjerg (W)31.2

1X2

31% 69%

Nykobing FH (W) Team Esbjerg (W)

Recent form · 10 last

Nykobing FH (W) 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WWLLLWLWWW

Team Esbjerg (W) 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWLWWW

Head-to-head

Nykobing FH (W) 1–5 Team Esbjerg (W) (6 last)

Team Esbjerg (W)37-31Nykobing FH (W)
Nykobing FH (W)22-34Team Esbjerg (W)
Team Esbjerg (W)30-29Nykobing FH (W)
Nykobing FH (W)22-35Team Esbjerg (W)
Nykobing FH (W)26-25Team Esbjerg (W)
Team Esbjerg (W)35-25Nykobing FH (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nykobing FH (W) 1539 · Team Esbjerg (W) 1647

	Nykobing FH (W)	Team Esbjerg (W)
Our model	45%	55%
Market	20%	71%

Estimated total (ours) 59.1 points · Bet365 line 61.5 · -2.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points59.1Nykobing FH (W) 27.9 · Team Esbjerg (W) 31.2

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Team Esbjerg (W) (rating 1539 vs 1647).
Team Esbjerg (W) is a clear favourite (69% market).
H2H favours Team Esbjerg (W): 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Nykobing FH (W)	Team Esbjerg (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.6 / 29.2	34.2 / 27.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	31.8 / 27.4	34.4 / 29
Est. result	28	31

Est. total59.1

Line O/U61.5

Diff.2.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

14.75

X10.00

21.32

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+3.5)1.88

2 (-3.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 61.51.88

Under 61.51.88

Diff.: 0.7 · Est. total: 60.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
X	10.00 → 10.00	Bet365 10.00
2	1.32 → 1.32	Bet365 1.32

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.8%

Time*	1	X	2
05:37 +10’	4.75	10.00	1.32

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Nykobing FH (W) 1–0–5 Team Esbjerg (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Denmark Handboldligaen Women	Team Esbjerg (W)	37-31	Nykobing FH (W)
30/04/26 Denmark Handboldligaen Women	Nykobing FH (W)	22-34	Team Esbjerg (W)
25/03/26 Denmark Handboldligaen Women	Team Esbjerg (W)	30-29	Nykobing FH (W)
21/01/26 Denmark Handboldligaen Women	Nykobing FH (W)	22-35	Team Esbjerg (W)
19/02/25 Denmark Handboldligaen Women	Nykobing FH (W)	26-25	Team Esbjerg (W)
16/10/24 Denmark Handboldligaen Women	Team Esbjerg (W)	35-25	Nykobing FH (W)

Standings · Denmark Handboldligaen Women

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Odense Handbold (W)	2	2	0	74	48	4
2	Nykobing FH (W)	2	2	0	68	50	4
3	Team Esbjerg (W)	2	2	0	70	53	4
4	Viborg HK (W)	2	2	0	62	46	4
5	Elite (W)	2	1	1	55	63	2
6	Kobenhavn Handbold (W)	2	1	1	55	66	2
7	Herning-Ikast (W)	2	1	1	60	58	2
8	Silkeborg Voel (W)	2	1	1	55	53	2
9	SonderjyskE (W)	2	1	1	67	60	2
10	HOJ (W)	2	1	1	60	58	2
11	Ringkobing (W)	2	0	2	58	66	0
12	NordVestjysk Elite (W)	2	0	2	50	62	0
13	EH Aalborg (W)	2	0	2	54	68	0
14	Skanderborg (W)	2	0	2	40	77	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nykobing FH (W)	Team Esbjerg (W)
Ringkobing (W)	33-30 W	33-28 W
Herning-Ikast (W)	27-24 W	29-26 W
Odense Handbold (W)	27-31 L	35-29 W
Kobenhavn Handbold (W)	33-28 W	37-25 W
SonderjyskE (W)	30-25 W	37-27 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 1 L	5 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Team Esbjerg (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nykobing FH (W)

WWLLLWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
29/08	Ringkobing (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	33-30	W
26/08	Skanderborg (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	35-20	W
02/06	Herning-Ikast (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	27-24	W
30/05	Herning-Ikast (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	28-29	L
27/05	Herning-Ikast (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	36-34	W
21/05	Odense Handbold (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	27-31	L
13/05	Odense Handbold (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	26-34	L
09/05	Team Esbjerg (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	31-37	L
06/05	Kobenhavn Handbold (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	33-28	W
03/05	SonderjyskE (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	30-25	W

Team Esbjerg (W)

WWWWWWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
29/08	Kobenhavn Handbold (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	37-25	W
26/08	Ringkobing (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	33-28	W
02/06	Odense Handbold (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	35-29	W
30/05	Odense Handbold (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	30-33	L
27/05	Odense Handbold (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	37-30	W
21/05	Herning-Ikast (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	29-26	W
13/05	Herning-Ikast (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	37-21	W
09/05	Nykobing FH (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	37-31	W
06/05	SonderjyskE (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	37-27	W
03/05	Kobenhavn Handbold (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	30-26	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nykobing FH (W) vs Team Esbjerg (W)?

Our model gives 69% to Team Esbjerg (W).

How many points are expected in Nykobing FH (W) vs Team Esbjerg (W)?

The model estimates 59.1 total points (Nykobing FH (W) 27.9 · Team Esbjerg (W) 31.2).