Handball · Denmark Handboldligaen Women · 09/09, 18:30

Prediction: Team Esbjerg (W) vs EH Aalborg (W)

Team pages: Team Esbjerg (W) · EH Aalborg (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

60.6Total

Team Esbjerg (W)34.7

EH Aalborg (W)25.9

1X2

91% 9%

Team Esbjerg (W) EH Aalborg (W)

Markets

Under 61.5 points 65%

Recent form · 10 last

Team Esbjerg (W) 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWWLWWWW

EH Aalborg (W) 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLWLWLLL

Head-to-head

Team Esbjerg (W) 6–0 EH Aalborg (W) (6 last)

Team Esbjerg (W)38-26EH Aalborg (W)
EH Aalborg (W)27-37Team Esbjerg (W)
EH Aalborg (W)24-37Team Esbjerg (W)
Team Esbjerg (W)40-22EH Aalborg (W)
Team Esbjerg (W)28-18EH Aalborg (W)
EH Aalborg (W)20-29Team Esbjerg (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Team Esbjerg (W) 1624 · EH Aalborg (W) 1419

	Team Esbjerg (W)	EH Aalborg (W)
Our model	83%	17%
Market	94%	3%

Estimated total (ours) 60.6 points · Bet365 line 61.5 · -0.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points60.6Team Esbjerg (W) 34.7 · EH Aalborg (W) 25.9

Over / Under 61.5Under · 65%recent trend · ~58.9 pts · strength 3

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Team Esbjerg (W) (rating 1624 vs 1419).
Team Esbjerg (W) is a clear favourite (91% market).
H2H favours Team Esbjerg (W): 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Team Esbjerg (W)	EH Aalborg (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	34.3 / 27.9	26.6 / 31.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	33.2 / 28.8	25.4 / 30.2
Est. result	35	26

Est. total60.6

Line O/U61.5

Diff.0.9

Over / Under35% / 65%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.00

X30.00

228.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-11.5)1.88

2 (+11.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 61.51.88

Under 61.51.88

Diff.: 1.4 · Est. total: 60.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.00 → 1.00	Bet365 1.00
X	30.00 → 30.00	Bet365 30.00
2	28.00 → 28.00	Bet365 28.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.4%

Time*	1	X	2
12:43 +4’	1.00	30.00	28.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Team Esbjerg (W) 6–0–0 EH Aalborg (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/02/26 Denmark Handboldligaen Women	Team Esbjerg (W)	38-26	EH Aalborg (W)
24/09/25 Denmark Handboldligaen Women	EH Aalborg (W)	27-37	Team Esbjerg (W)
15/03/25 Denmark Handboldligaen Women	EH Aalborg (W)	24-37	Team Esbjerg (W)
13/11/24 Denmark Handboldligaen Women	Team Esbjerg (W)	40-22	EH Aalborg (W)
29/01/20 Denmark Handboldligaen Women	Team Esbjerg (W)	28-18	EH Aalborg (W)
21/09/19 Denmark Handboldligaen Women	EH Aalborg (W)	20-29	Team Esbjerg (W)

Standings · Denmark Handboldligaen Women

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Odense Handbold (W)	3	3	0	112	78	6
2	Team Esbjerg (W)	3	3	0	101	82	6
3	Herning-Ikast (W)	3	2	1	90	83	4
4	Kobenhavn Handbold (W)	3	2	1	89	87	4
5	Nykobing FH (W)	3	2	1	97	81	4
6	HOJ (W)	3	2	1	91	84	4
7	SonderjyskE (W)	3	2	1	92	81	4
8	Viborg HK (W)	3	2	1	87	76	4
9	Silkeborg Voel (W)	3	1	2	81	84	2
10	Elite (W)	3	1	2	76	88	2
11	NordVestjysk Elite (W)	3	1	2	79	83	2
12	Ringkobing (W)	3	0	3	88	104	0
13	EH Aalborg (W)	3	0	3	75	102	0
14	Skanderborg (W)	3	0	3	61	106	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Team Esbjerg (W)	EH Aalborg (W)
Kobenhavn Handbold (W)	37-25 W	21-34 L
Ringkobing (W)	33-28 W	28-34 L
SonderjyskE (W)	37-27 W	30-38 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 0 L	0 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Team Esbjerg (W) (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Team Esbjerg (W)

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
02/09	Nykobing FH (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	31-29	W
29/08	Kobenhavn Handbold (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	37-25	W
26/08	Ringkobing (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	33-28	W
02/06	Odense Handbold (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	35-29	W
30/05	Odense Handbold (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	30-33	L
27/05	Odense Handbold (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	37-30	W
21/05	Herning-Ikast (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	29-26	W
13/05	Herning-Ikast (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	37-21	W
09/05	Nykobing FH (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	37-31	W
06/05	SonderjyskE (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	37-27	W

EH Aalborg (W)

LLLLWLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
05/09	Kobenhavn Handbold (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	21-34	L
29/08	SonderjyskE (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	30-38	L
26/08	HOJ (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	24-30	L
17/05	Ajax Kobenhavn (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	31-26	W
13/05	Ajax Kobenhavn (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	21-23	L
09/05	Ajax Kobenhavn (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	28-25	W
03/05	Skanderborg (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	33-39	L
29/04	Ringkobing (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	28-34	L
22/04	HOJ (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	25-36	L
19/04	Silkeborg Voel (W) Denmark Handboldligaen Women	25-29	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Team Esbjerg (W) vs EH Aalborg (W)?

Our model gives 91% to Team Esbjerg (W).

How many points are expected in Team Esbjerg (W) vs EH Aalborg (W)?

The model estimates 60.6 total points (Team Esbjerg (W) 34.7 · EH Aalborg (W) 25.9).

Over or under 61.5 points?

Recent history points to under 61.5 points (65%).